The Death of Local News

newspaper origami

Photo by Public Domain Pictures on Pexels.com

Information cost money.  Money or lack of it is in large part responsible for the demise of local news. It takes a battalion of reporters, photographers and editors, equipped with printing presses and trucks to deliver a newspaper to the front door. Anyone can write, but news is not just written. It is researched, source corroborated, commented on by the people involved, proofread and edited. All of which takes time.

The advent of the 24 hour news cycle ushered in by CNN eliminated the traditional news cycle, when news releases were timed to be published in time for the evening news which had the largest viewing audience. 24 hour cycles brought instantly breaking news, any time of day. But it also created a lot of airtime to fill. Commercial TV filled time with entertaining news, cute interactions between anchors and glitzy graphics. The morning news evolved with a cast of characters to bring weather, sports, entertainment news; everything you “need” to know to start the day. In addition, the range of what is considered news expanded into stories about celebrity love affairs, divorces, birth and marriages, tidbits on the lives of sports and entertainment figures, at the cost of more hard hitting in-depth stories of political, economic and social problems and solutions. Those kind of stories required investigation, interviewing celebrities did not. Celebrity interviews didn’t add to the cost of programming as they came promoting their latest released product. In essence, the gossip column moved to the front page and the tendrils of tabloid news slipped onto TV screens and daily newspapers.

One other addition has been the rise of the on air panel of analysts and experts who expound on the questions they’re asked. More and more, news involves the art of prediction. What to you think this means, how do you think this person will act and what will happen next and when form a large part of questions posed to these pundits.. Speculation, sometimes with subject matter expertise rather than news has become a large part of broadcasts.

In the meantime, print media was scrambling to keep pace. They didn’t have a 24 hour presence and couldn’t break news because they were only printed once a day, having had to cut afternoon editions of previous decades. In addition, subscriptions cost money while TV and the internet were free. There has also been a gradual diminution in the interest in reading stories; pictures and videos are just easier to navigate. Not to mention that the newspaper format was cumbersome in comparison to screen based reading.

In an effort to increase visibility, print media rushed to the internet, replicating their newspapers on screen and eventually, to create an outlet for breaking news and to interact with other social media like Facebook, Instagram and Twitter. Now they send notifications, email newsletters and text messages. But the news is competing with kittens, dogs and stupid tricks for a place on the pocket computer that our phones have become. Not to mention the abundance of entertainment options, games, movies, YouTube videos, Ted Talks, Netflix, Amazon videos, etc. Most of that content is not sad or disturbing like the news. People want something that entertains, not hard facts.

The bigger problem was that once newspapers made their content available for free, how could they insure a revenue stream to sustain their operations? Advertising revenue fell as subscriptions plummeted and other web based advertising outlets expanded exponentially. These offered the advantage of targeted audiences more likely to buy based on internet tracking data particularly as shopping shifted rapidly to the web. In the meantime, free content was not driving readers to subscriptions. Perhaps they had hoped that just as viewers had accepted that they had to pay for TV through cable subscriptions or streaming services, that they would also pay for online subscriptions. That didn’t happen and the newspapers have had to navigate some strategy for limited content availability without subscription. Well, at least until the BullyPresident’s attacks on the free press, which has spurred an increase in on-line newspaper subscriptions, particularly for the New York Times and the Washington Post, early and persistent Trump targets. Not so much for local newspapers.

Newspapers retrenched by consolidating and shedding staff, cutting their investigative reporting staff to the bone. Local newspapers, particularly in smaller markets disappeared. But even in larger markets like Atlanta, the Atlanta Journal Constitution, itself a consolidation of the two local newspapers, is barely hanging on. They have committed to covering Georgia based issues, in part, a function of the presence of the governor, the state legislature and governmental agencies in the city. But that may be less appealing to readers as priorities have shifted to national news.

News has continued to become more national, particularly since 2015 when Donald Trump sucked all the air out of coverage and local politicians shifted to comments on national issues and personalities rather than on their states and counties. But there is also the aspect of entertainment news that focuses on entertainment and sports celebrities that are national not local figures.

As local newspapers disappeared, Facebook slipped into the vacuum. Now more than 40% of Americans are reported to get their news on Facebook with an additional segment from Twitter and assorted other platforms. People wanted to know what their neighbors and friends were doing and also thinking. Facebook provided a newsfeed, not so much verified news from reliable sources but items that friends were forwarding. Now we know that much of that feed was mediated by fake accounts, false identities and misinformation spread by bots operated from St Petersburg primarily but also local Russian agents or associates like Maria Butina. Likewise, platforms like Twitter and Instagram spread news that was fake in earnest, sometimes assisted by retweets from candidate then president Trump, administration officials and various political buddies.

Interestingly, conservatives seem to engage more in closed news circles than moderates and liberals, perhaps reflecting their isolation from what they perceive as the liberal hegemony of the society in general as well as the comfort of freely expressing oneself to like minded people. It is an unfortunate truth, that the human mind seeks information that will confirm what it already thinks and will modify new information to fit within its established world view. It takes an independent thinker who consciously applies analytical tools to rethink ideas in light of new information and adjust accordingly.

The plight of local print news extended to local TV news as well. This situation provided the opportunity for the rise of Sinclair Broadcast Group, a corporation that has purchased local TV stations to become a giant in the market with over 190. They are trying to succeed in purchasing over 100 more stations despite a recent hiccup with FCC approval. They will probably succeed, because of their effort to become the local extension of Trump-run TV. In the Sinclair model, after buying a local station, local news becomes less local, more national and more conservatively supportive of Trump without giving any visible indication that the station is not what it had always been, locally owned. Sinclair does not appear in the logo nor is it explicitly acknowledged. The local station looks the same. If there had been a local daily newspaper they might have written an article. But sadly, that was not true in most of these locations.

If the deal to buy Tribune Media is approved, the group will reach as many as 70% of households in the country. While its stations are currently in more conservative areas of the country, the new purchase will bring a station into the LA, Chicago and New York markets.

As an aside, it seems bizarre to designate areas as “conservative” as if the people living in those areas are frozen in time, not free to evolve different political approaches or that the demographic makeup of the area won’t change and evolve a different political orientation. Or that new candidates won’t appeal in different ways to the electorate. That used to be part of the political fabric of the country. It doesn’t bode good for the country if it is true.

Many critics contend that this conservative intrusion is more insidious at the local level, as the “trusted” local newscaster, often in homes for many years, becomes a mouthpiece for Trump propaganda, almost without being noticed. Polls suggest that 89% of viewers trust their local TV news, a higher percentage than for national news. Sinclair forces must-run stories and features, like a “Terrorism Alert” that include random stories about Muslims, like one about Burkinis in France, leaving the less than subtle equation of all Muslims with terrorists. There are required intros by local anchors to must-run stories. Recent national news stories reported news anchors at all Sinclair stations delivered the exact same rant against fake news.

It leaves the impression that Trump supporters are in fact the majority and that the RealityPresident enjoys near universal support, one more plank in attempts to transform reality into a RealityTVPresidential play. We have to remember that only 58% of those eligible voted in 2016 and that Hillary Clinton won 2.9 million votes more than Trump. The Electoral College is a powerful antidote to one person one vote, by inflating the influence of low population states to be equivalent to that of densely populated states and discounting the influence of large numbers of voters packed in urban areas against more sparsely populated rural areas in winner-take-all electoral vote states. Of course, that’s not going to change; if we want regime change, the task remains to get those other voters into voting booths in 2018 and 2020 and to field candidates that people will want to vote for.

Sinclair already owns 193 stations in 100 markets, making it the largest owner of local TV stations in the country. They continue to purchase other stations outside the pending Tribune deal. If the purchase is approved, the company has a potential for evening news audience of 22 million homes, far exceeding any national network, including Fox News with 2.5 million nightly viewers. The stations include all the major national network affiliations, Fox (39), CBS (30), ABC (41) and NBC (25).

Locally in Atlanta, Cox Enterprises, owner of a local station, announced it was looking to sell its chain of 14 stations. In their announcement, Cox said it lacks the scale for TV stations in today’s market. Certainly 14 is a far cry from 193. Let’s hope they won’t by gobbled up by Sinclair. Cox also owns the Atlanta Journal Constitution, which is struggling to stay afloat. The newspaper and TV had been in the process of increasing cooperation on developing investigative stories and sharing other resources. Obviously, the implications of Cox’s decision to sell are difficult to predict, one can only be less than optimistic about the AJC. It seems impossible that Atlanta, the fastest growing metropolitan area in the country with a population of almost 500,000, would not have a local daily paper. The paper has done some ground breaking exposees on such subjects as inefficiencies and corruption in Georgia state government, executions and discrimination in the criminal justice system. It seems inconceivable that Atlanta could be without a daily newspaper; although if most Atlantans thought that, the paper would be thriving and well subscribed.

the First Amendment guarantees the freedom to make fiction into fact and vice versa.

Is there a way back? Not back to the America First of Trump fiction. In truth, most of the past is flawed in some way for one group or another. America has never been a level playing field. We need a way forward. Facebook and Twitter are not the way. The plummet in Facebook stock and the disappointment at the loss of Twitter users suggests that there is something inherently wrong relying on social media as a source of news. They are huge businesses after all and profit is what capitalism is all about. Newspapers and TV are businesses too but they were corralled by principles about their information product. That no longer holds either. Fox News has made a mockery of that. Web based news has no constraints at all; the First Amendment guarantees the freedom to make fiction into fact and vice versa.

Our society has returned to the cruelty and gross disregard for our fellow humans that reigned in the Gilded Age at the dawn of the 20th century when there were no constraints on corporations and the very wealthy known affectionately as the Robber Barons. They were the government. They owned elected officials, Congress and the presidency. Decisions were made in dark smoke-filled rooms between the powerful. This was the landscape of child labor, overcrowded unsanitary slums rampant with disease and wage exploitation. Thus the immoral in abstract can be made moral through the magic of a manipulated social narrative. It seems our far more advanced technology is betraying us.

The free flow of information is the basis of both democracy and capitalism itself. In the free market, consumers need the kind of information that will allow them to make choices that will determine which companies will succeed. However, that assertion relies on an assumption of truth in advertising, clearly not one that many businesses subscribe to. Tobacco companies and Purdue Pharma, the maker of oxycontin, that is fueling the opioid drug crisis are just two of hundreds of examples of false advertising. While the billionaire friends clustered around the Koch brothers believe in free markets above all, they have spent their lifetimes evading transparency in both their oil and chemical businesses as well as their political contributions. Their businesses are among the country’s largest polluters about which they have consistently dissembled. They have worked tirelessly to overturn regulation that would curtail their ability to pollute.

Professional journalists are symbolic of the people’s right to know

Information about candidates for office and elected officials is critical to voter decisions, even when only property owning men were enfranchised and decisions were made in back rooms. Journalists, members of what has been called the Fourth Estate, were essential then as now even as their role evolved from political party supporters in the 19th century to independent objective reporters in the 20th. The internet and cell phones ushered in the every (wo)man reporter that harkens back to the 19th century as well even as it recreates the lack of verification that prevailed then. But even under daily attack from Trump and his conservative right wing forces, professional journalists are symbolic of the people’s right to know; news organizations are representatives of the American people, as so aptly expressed by Mara Gay, NYT editorial board member on This Week with George Stephanopoulos yesterday.

That the press is not infallible is obvious, but at least they try to correct their mistakes through additional investigation. Their job is to provide factual information to contribute to the discussion that the rest of us should continue in our participation in our own governance. That task is made harder by the loss of local news and the proliferation of the right wing propaganda machine. The Russians identified an American vulnerability that is not unique but simply a human weakness. That is the desire to belong and to be sure in our belief systems. In collaboration with their domestic right wing conservative allies, they have flooded the country with messages to engender hate, division and persecution to turn us against each other.

I don’t have any ideas about how to get from here to the there where we analyze, investigate, discuss and question ourselves. Sure there are many, perhaps most, who have never done that, but we have had leaders in the past to help show the way. We will need new tools to combat untruth. We have to ferret out misinformation. We have to stop believing the fraudulent.  

Should Trump Guardrails Fold?

When Leslie Stahl’s blindsided National Security Secretary Dan Coats with the news that Trump had invited Putin to the White House during a conference on national security, his response spoke volumes about policy making in the White House. Coats had just admitted that he had no idea what had transpired between the two leaders. He seemed to be hoping that Tinkerbell would whisper the information in his ear at some point in the near future, but it wasn’t clear that 45 will. Or that he could be believed.

Coats had stuck to his guns in stating that Russia interfered in the 2016 elections, in the face of the RealityTVPresident’s denial thinly camouflaged by periodic, insincere acceptance. He went further to characterize Russia as a foe, without dismissing the potential of discussions between enemies. Now he was scrambling to preserve his job in the face of rumors that Trump was angered by his guffaw with Stahl. Why?

A debate has emerged over the role of the supposed guardrails to the RealityTVPresident’s capricious ways. The remaining pillars are the Generals Mattis and Kelley as all the others have fallen by the wayside. One seldom hears anything about or from Kelley these days, perhaps trying to limp to the end of the year of Chief of Staff service it is rumored he committed to. In some ways, it seems his job has been made easier as fewer and fewer people remain who may want face to face access to 45; they’ve worked around Kelley by simply calling  Trump’s cell or Trump calls them.

Mattis is not so much a guardrail as a shill. Mattis has soothed nervous NATO allies reacting to the flurry of bully tweets with the idea that these are mere words and the US policy has not changed, even as the surrender in Helsinki may prove to be the final straw. That discounts the fact that the words are Putin’s. Europeans now realize that Mattis does not speak for the administration and so is no barometer of what to anticipate in the future. They are beginning to look at their own work arounds to a barrage of assaults. Note the new trade agreement between the EU and Japan, a response to both Trump’s tariffs and withdrawal from the TPP.

trump & freedom caucusClearly, the CelebrityPresident thinks that he is his own best counsel, no different in this job than he has been in his real estate career. His Cabinet meetings are staged love feasts; the platform for testimonials of gratitude for being able to serve him. They’re grateful for the financial rewards and perks too, but they’re not allowed to say that when the cameras are rolling. With the presidential schedule no longer public record, one can only guess the difficulty of squeezing in policy discussions between meetings with dignitaries and his TV viewing sessions in the morning, afternoon and evening, as he retires early to his quarters. Some of that time is advisory as well, as FoxNews and Sean Hannity gets double time: on air and in his night time phone call.

Coates, Pompeo and the National Security team may be waiting a long time to get the skinny on the Finnish dual massage. In truth, they probably spent their time celebrating the culmination of their collaboration. Any actual agreements would be unusual during hastily arranged meetings with little pre-meeting diplomatic preparation, but you never know what 45 would be willing to surrender to Putin’s ego stroking. They could even have discussed the propaganda themes for the eventual rollout of whatever it was. Putin can say whatever he chooses about the meeting; he’s never been a proponent of honesty in politics. He says nothing that does not serve his propaganda purposes. He can say whatever he likes with impunity; 45 is too cowered by his mentor to say anything uncomplimentary. In any event, he’s parroted all of Putin’s themes in the past.

In any event, whatever Trump tells his national security officials at home is likely to be his filtered version of events; he doesn’t know how to tell the truth or even to recognize it. He is forever on the reality TV stage; life is just one continuous acting gig. His national security team, after working closely with him, should be well aware of that. Trump intentionally cut off their access to alternative intelligence records by meeting solo with the Russian leader. Were there listening devices? Maybe. The FSB most certainly tried; they had nothing invested in the secret meeting that Trump had requested except as a good source of kompromat or propaganda. Let’s hope the CIA was equally effective, even if it is to mine their FSB sources.

Should Coates, Mattis and Kelly resign?

Should Coates, Mattis and Kelly resign? The argument for staying is that they feel they are doing their duty to the country at the request of the Commander In Chief. And if by serving they have even a little bit of mitigating influence, that is all for the better. Still, even for the proponents of relationship reset, one would think that the generals who have seen Putin consolidate his power since 2011 would have cringed at the sight of the surrender in Helsinki. To negotiate is one thing, but to prostrate is quite another. The country’s honor took a big hit.

Stay or resign; it’s irrelevant. Trump’s most important advisor lives in Moscow and Putin’s associates have had much longer relationships with our president than anyone in the administration.

Trump Continues to Step Through Putin’s Paces

russian-bear

Donald Trump announced that he will be inviting Vladimir Putin to the White House for a fall love feast. He must be feeling pretty reassured that Vlad has the situation in hand. He seems confident that he has quieted the momentary critical reaction to his supplication to the Russian bear. He’s pretty secure in Republican Party spinelessness, although even he was probably surprised at how little effort it took to tamp down their feeble response. A simple change from “would” to “wouldn’t” was all it took. The GOP has been consumed by Trump Neurologic Rearrangement Syndrome, where their eyes and ears have been disconnected from their brain.

Just to confirm 45’s hegemony over his party, the Senate shot down a bill proposed by Jeff Flack to support the conclusion from the intelligence agencies that Russia interfered in the 2016 election to aid Trump, to completely enforce already imposed sanctions on Moscow and request Congressional oversight of the Helsinki tete-a-tete, including any notes taken by Americans. These were simply non-binding symbolic statements. But the bill didn’t even get a hearing after it was immediately blocked by John Cornyn, Texas Republican. In the other chamber, the House refused to allocate additional funds to states for bolstering election security.

Not even the astonishing announcement that Trump would consider Putin’s “heartfelt” proposal to send former Ambassador to Russia under Obama, Michael McFaul, to Moscow for questioning unsettled any Republican officials elected to represent their constituents. Is this really what those good citizens want? It is impossible to convey how fantastical this idea is; for any government official, let alone the President, to consider such a proposal for even a second. Trump should have laughed in Putin’s face. It should and must be an automatic no. that’s a no now and forever. Just as it is for Putin where it is codified in the Constitution for any citizen, let alone a diplomat. These guys know government secrets. Not a peep from Republicans about the betrayal of the diplomatic corps.

In any case, Trump has no legal power to make that happen. The US and Russia have no extradition treaty. As a private citizen, McFaul can not be compelled to go to Russia. Federal law enforcement could take him into custody for some infraction, but even Jeff Sessions hasn’t yet begun trampling the civil rights of rich white men, even those critical of the administration. I suppose there is a CIA or commando kidnap scenario. . .

The Senate did manage to pass a meaningless, non-binding resolution to express its opposition, 98 to 0. In all likelihood, it was a Trump head fake, throw out some outrageous bit of fluff to test the response and send the libs and commercial media into “Trump Derangement Syndrome”. Even he isn’t that audacious, yet.

The ForkedTongue President had only to take it back, like a mom kissing a booboo. Well, actually he didn’t even completely retract his remarks, unable to resist the unscripted comment “it could have been others” in describing intelligence agency conclusions. It’s the wink he throws his Trumpophants, signaling that he’s been compelled to make this false retraction which he doesn’t really mean.

Trump may have received some reassurances in Helsinki from Putin that the situation was well in hand. Russian intelligence agency hackers are still at work, no doubt with newer slicker techniques. For his part, Trump has stymied any effort to improve cyber defenses for the approaching 2018 elections, leaving open the possibility that the Kremlin may actually be able to change vote totals as they nearly managed in Ukraine.

The Republican Party is clearly boxed in between the President and his supporters. There are some who drank the kool aid and are rushing full throttle into mindless adoration of the leader. His coattail is their path to power and money. There are hundreds of candidates in the midterms vying to increase their number in Congress and state legislatures. They believe that there are a majority of voters who drank the kool aid too. On the other hand, there are others who understand that they have abandoned any principles they held in a desperate attempt to stay current with Trumpophants to remain in office. That leaves them silenced, at best tangentially reminding the world that they used to have principles even if they don’t guide their actions. Do principles die when they go unused?

45 has a solid rearguard in the House, notably those members on committees investigating Russian interference. The phalanx has generated a false committee report of investigative findings and a bundle of conspiracy theories, blocked attempts to view documents, publicly bashed witnesses and attempted to launch new investigations on time honored favorite themes surrounding Hillary Clinton. Ironically, most of these members have no real understanding of either Trump’s history outside of office or what he did to get into office. Only a few have intuited that Trump collaborated with Russians as suggested by Kevin McCarthy. But others are intimately familiar with hard intelligence information, including McConnell and Ryan who were part of the intelligence briefing with Obama back in August 2016 where they opted to follow Trump’s tail to potential victory rather than form a bipartisan defense front again Moscow. (What If Obama Had Announced That Russians Interfered in the 2016 Election in July?) ) The leadership has kept this information top secret, i.e. classified from general members to avoid it leaking. The larger group may not know what Trump did, but they understand that it is damaging enough to boot the whole party out of office, even with their various voter disenfranchisement mechanisms in place, by breaking the spell that Trump has cast over his portion of the electorate. The glass vessel could crack and disintegrate.

The fake news propaganda machine is alive and well. Americans have created enough of their own media fabrications to pass around. There are still quite a number of  American viewers of RT, a Russian international propaganda TV station, and RT social media followers, and other conservatives resend their messages across platforms. Russian intelligence can wade in to grease the wheels, as they have been doing all along, even as Facebook and Instagram and YouTube have moved to try to turn the volume down. None of these platforms will be able to eliminate fake accounts or to contain its content, as long as they believe that it is better to be popular, or as they like to phrase it equally tolerant of all points of view. Otherwise, their business models are all in jeopardy.

Fox News, Trump’s commercial propaganda network, is the RealityTVPresident’s safety net, there to actively connect with social media based fake news 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. It expands his message, providing an active platform for subordinates and tag along spokesmen to spin the threads of the narrative. There are background stories, conspiracy theories, and ideas to supplement 45’s Twitter feed.

The biggest fake news generator is the president himself. Like Putin, he is flush with propaganda techniques.

The biggest fake news generator is the president himself. Like his mentor, he is flush with propaganda techniques such as the oft-repeated lie, where a falsehood becomes the standard that must be refuted. We’ve discussed implausible deniability which is the bold lie that says “I’m lying, you know I’m lying, and I know that you know.” In its boldness, it shifts the focus from the subject matter to what was said about it or how it was said, down to the specificity of words or phraseology. (See Why is Donald Trump Putin’s Bonbon?) For example, Trump’s word substitution insisting he meant to use a double negative when he spoke in Helsinki deflected the media to his lame attempt to retrench and provided Republican legislators a way out. His remarks were clearly spoken; there was no mistaking his intent. Both implausible deniability and the oft-repeated lie are used in the service of a strategy to destroy a popular desire to hear the truth. People get to a point where they believe that all politicians lie, so if they can’t hear the truth, they might as well be entertained and be told what to do. These are the drugs that maintain Trumpophants afflicted with Trump Neurologic Rearrangement Syndrome.

It seems increasingly clear that Congress is shifting to neutral, coasting to midterms and perhaps the next session, despite continuing in session during the summer. The Republicans are so confused that they can’t agree on any new legislation and they want to sidestep any false steps on immigration or trade that could endanger their midterm races. They don’t want to take a chance on any potential points of opposition to the Chief Executive.

With the opposition in the legislative branch subdued, 45 is moving a pace with other disruptive strikes both domestically and at the Western world. He’s ramped up his tariff wars, announcing that he will slap a tariff on every single item imported from China. I suppose that includes his Trump ties and Ivanka’s clothes and handbags, but then, they’re already overpriced enough that a few more bucks can’t matter. He’s undermining NATO in interviews by questioning the validity of the heart of the alliance, Article 5 which calls for members to protect any one member from attack.

His use of Montenegro, was masterful. A new member since 2017, it is a country that no one ever heard of. That allowed him to posit a country in which the US had no interest that could bring our country into another unwanted war and for most people to just take his word for it, always a dangerous proposition. Has Montenegro historically been an aggressor? Actually it has been more a victim of Soviet aggression. But that does make it vulnerable and the question of its NATO membership sparked a cautious debate in Europe about admitting new smaller states that added little to European defense but could precipitate confrontations with Russia. This is a worthwhile debate with nuances outside Trump’s competence. But then, his other Trump approved Montenegro’s NATO membership and signed off on it.

On the domestic front, the IRS has announced that it will no longer require 501(c)(4) nonprofit organizations to disclose the name of large donors of more than $5,000. While this includes groups like labor unions and AARP, the major impact will be on dark money organizations funded by the billionaires clustered around the Koch brothers; organizations that purport to be “social organizations” but perform the bulk of their conservative political propaganda and organizing. The administration continues its assault on labor unions and consumer protections with the recent SCOTUS decision on mandatory dues collections and the nomination of Kathy Kraninger to head the Consumer Protection Agency. And he’s throwing up federal judge and Supreme Court nominees to cement his administration’s changes to regulation, tax structure and civil rights by creating judicial precedents to confirm them for decades.

His new SCOTUS nominee, Brett Kavanaugh has positioned himself in recent years to cover Trump’s retention of power by espousing his opinions that a president can not be legally charged with a crime or compelled to testify while in office and that special prosecutors are unconstitutional. New federal appointments will shift the general tenor of the federal court system to support the rollback of environmental and workplace health and safety protections as well, now that many of Scott Pruitt’s regulatory changes are being held up in the courts.

All of the administration’s judicial nominees come from the Federalist Society, a legal professional society of the conservatives trained with Koch and friends funded fellowships, and institutes in law schools, including Harvard and Yale. The funders evolved an alternative constitutional law philosophy, “originalism” and educated undergrad and law students as well as seminars for already serving judges in luxurious surrounding. “Originalism” has become a mainstream alternative school of jurisprudence. The Federalist Society has succeeded in creating a pipeline of proponents who can populate the legal system for the forseeable future.

Putin doesn’t care so much about our domestic policies, but he can relish the rise of an American oligarchy, soon to become kleptocracy like his own in Russia.

Putin doesn’t care so much about domestic policies, but he can relish the rise of an American oligarchy, soon to become kleptocracy like his own in Russia. Those are the building blocks for the expansion of the kind of income inequality that forms the bedrock for totalitarian government. It creates the hopelessness that leads a populace to choose a leader who will soothe the pain of their daily existence with a poultice of mythical national supremacy.

We can look for the TweeterMaster-in-Chief to throw out a wide variety of pronouncements to juice the commercial media. He will continue his friendly interviews on his own Fox News channel and send his surrogates to cover that and the other outlets. He will hammer out themes against NATO and the EU. He will dispute the view that he is soft on Russia by citing sanctions primarily, sanctions either in place or forced on him by the UK or the Senate. Some cite US support for arming the Ukraine. He may even dabble in responding to news reports of a Cohen tape of a discussion with him about hush money payments to Karen MacDougal to keep quiet about an affair. But the one thing he will not do is tough talk against his adopted motherland and its leader. He may generate some new executive orders in other areas outside immigration which also produced a momentary stir of opposition to the kidnapping of immigrant children from their parents. That topic has to stay on the downlow as ICE and Homeland fail to reunite families despite court order with a new policy requiring parents to pay for transportation to reunite with their children. He may wade into the NFL and kneeling protests, that’s good for a base bump. He will find something to characterize his tenure as continuously winning in the wake of some shaky weeks of fledgling opposition. The sheer number of “surprises” is integral to his flooding the media space.

May our eyes remain open, peering into the mist of Trumpism with the focused spotlights of truth seeking and analytical questioning. Our mantra: Yes, there is objective truth. Yes, there is objective fact.

 

Trump Is Nothing But Consistent

pinochhio trump

You would think that conservatives who screamed when Obama bowed to the Japanese Prime Minister must have been apoplectic during Trump’s press conference in Helsinki, following his meeting with Vladimir Putin. Trump didn’t just bow, he genuflected to the Russian leader. Instead, now that the shoe is on the other foot, their guy can do no wrong and anything they can do in pursuit of his goals is laudable.

On the other hand, readers who saw our last post, “Why is Trump Putin’s Bonbon?” know this was the only course 45 would take; that Trump’s supplication to Putin was the culmination of this phase of his remit. Once your perspective shifts in that direction, Trump’s performance was nothing but predictable. No surprise then, just sadness.

Unlike previous US presidents, the RealityTVPresident generally devotes part of his news conferences on the international scene to domestic issues because he can never miss an opportunity to hammer out his domestic propaganda. He was particularly fragile in Helsinki, since he is haunted by the dark vision of the illegitimate president, falsely claiming victory in a tainted election. Part of the irony here, is that 45 is standing with the Russian dictator, a master of the fictional “free election”, trying to deny the reality of his own. Here, it was particularly obvious that the two were parroting the same propaganda lines; Putin had only to sit back and agree as his wind-up doll did the deed. His face held an eye-winking smirk throughout.

45’s tweet on the eve of the joint meeting began his mea culpa. Somehow, mother Russia was the innocent and the US was the stupid and foolish one for poisoning their relationship. Everyone it seems was foolish except the Kremlin. How Putinesque was the Donald’s approach. Gone was the concern for Russian military action in the Ukraine, bombing of civilians in Syria and intervention in multiple foreign elections, the reasons for international concern. The US had simply been petulant or wrong headedly run by the stupid Black guy.

trump-and-putinAlthough he towers over Putin, 45 never looked limper as he stood next to his mentor. There was one macho leader on the podium and it wasn’t him. Remember that it was the CelebrityPresident who insisted on meeting with Putin, soon after his “triumph” in Singapore. It was Trump who also insisted that they have a private meeting unobserved, a precedent that no honest global leader would want. There is no record, not even an unofficial one. There are, no doubt, Russian intelligence recordings. This was time the two could share, away from public scrutiny. It was a time for 45 to express his gratitude for the decades of Russian financial support and the leg up to the presidency. One can only laugh at the scene of the two high-fiving and fist-bumping just after the doors closed, a great idea for a cartoon. Yeah, that’s an exaggeration; neither one of them seems like the high-fiving type, it smacks too much of people of color. Perhaps Trump kissing Putin’s hand is more like it.

Of course, 45 began with the wrong approach to Russian interference in US elections. He could only think of it as a question to Putin, rather than a definitive statement. Not that he didn’t know it to be true, while it was happening. Through a trick of the mind, he can not acknowledge it without completely unravelling his ego as a man always in control of his destiny. No doubt, unlike Vladimir, he believes his own propaganda; Putin, long trained as an intelligence agent, knows it is a manufactured mirage to enable him to retain power. He is the puppet master. So for Trump to present Russian hacking, and really so much more, as an established fact and demand Putin to cease and desist is an impossibility. But to pose the question is to allow “implausible deniability”, part of Putin’s arsenal that permeates Trump’s as well.

And the RealityTVPresident came out full throttle, doing the propaganda work for Moscow. He literally parroted Moscow’s propaganda, as he had before the meeting began. The AmericaFirstPresident took this occasion on the world stage to repeat his “I won the election fair and square routine, attack the Mueller probe, bash Democrats and other politicians for standing in the way of progress toward a friendly relationship with a self acknowledged enemy. A quick review of Moscow’s domestic propaganda pointedly targets the US as a threat to Russian civilization.

Trump had to vanquish the collusion elephant. “There is no collusion,” he said, ‘’I didn’t know the president”, as if they would have to know each other to have coordinated political maneuvering. In fact, when answering a question from ironically, Maria Botina, during the campaign, he said “I know Putin”. He asserted that, despite numerous indictments of campaign staff coming from the Mueller investigation, a Senate committee investigation and at least the Democratic members of the Congressional committee investigation tainted by obviously partisan politics of GOP members, that there was no evidence that ties Moscow to his political campaign. But beyond the question of collusion, there is the extensive evidence of Russian “active measures”. There are the revelations of social media accounts, paid for by rubles. There were Russians sent to the US to organize Trump political demonstrations. But discussion of collusion keeps 45 away from the investigation of obstruction of justice, the other part of the Mueller probe remit.

Ultimately Trump moved to the heart of the matter when he told news reporters that Putin “was extremely strong and powerful in his denial”, and if you’re Donald Trump, you suggest that he convinced you to disbelieve US intelligence. Putin didn’t need to convince Trump; Trump is already familiar with Putin’s strategy to assist him.  45’s mission here was to equate the entire US Intelligence Services with the word of a trained foreign espionage agent. He attacked Mueller on the world stage, right after he had produced indictments of the 12 of Russian intelligence agents, while standing next to and supporting the dictator who had ordered their operations. A magnificently startling performance.

Trump waxed to excess, as he is want to do. “I don’t see any reason why it [Russia] would be” involved in election intervention is not naïveté which no well briefed president could maintain, it is an example of “implausible deniability.”

Trump got down deep into attacking the FBI when he enthusiastically reported Putin’s offer to send Russian intelligence over to the US to help with the investigation of its own actions; talk about inviting the fox into the hen house. This was the second time Putin has suggested collaborating with US intelligence. The first offer was a joint task force securing the system against voter fraud after their first secret meeting during an international meeting. Having a police state without free elections advise the US on voter fraud is an  absurdity. Putin later offered to have Mueller’s team go over to Moscow to observe the questioning of the 12 indicted intelligence agents. All of this follows the usual line of Putin responses to accusations of illegitimate activities, similar to that made to London to hunt down the poisoners of Sergei Skripal and his daughter; he offers to investigate and then bemoans the fact that no one ever wants him to. In fact, we don’t need Russian help, we are perfectly capable, witness the indictments which are just symbolic. Actually, it seems like we could use some assistance with cyberdefense because the Kremlin clearly has our number. The Russian constitution forbids extradition of any Russian citizen, but there is always the hope that some, perhaps Israeli or mercenary hitman will catch them outside or inside Russia, even as we as the good guys aren’t supposed to do those kinds of things.

gettyimages-631796322When Putin took the mic, he must have been so secretly proud. Trump had done all the heavy lifting, he could simply coast. When asked about Russian interference, he responded with “You can trust no one. We should be guided by fact. Can you name a single fact to show collusion?” Again, the reference to collusion, not the hacking or the bots and trolling. Here would have been the place for a true American president representing our interests to jump in with details from the indictments or FBI/CIA reports, to which as president he has access. Instead, Putin could finish up with, “take it from your president (another liar well versed in implausible deniability).” It was almost like a double act.  

Putin finally conceded that he indeed wanted Trump elected because the candidate was talking about improving relationships between the two countries. He did not mention that he has a festering grudge against Hillary Clinton for what he believes is her support of Russian demonstrations against his election. And why shouldn’t he come clean here; the jig is already up even as he stopped short of saying he did anything to help it along.  

Both defending Russian political behavior and ridiculing US intelligence agencies would have been astounding statements were it not for what we know about Putin’s hold over Trump. Is this high crimes? It seems like it should at least qualify as a high misdemeanor. But that will be up to our spineless Congressmen. Conservatives and Republicans don’t want to see it for it would destroy their hold on power. Republicans exiting office had a freer hand to denounce this turn and many, like Paul Ryan couldn’t even do that. But those still trying to hold onto the tail of Trumpophants could only wrestle with the recognition of Russian interference while avoiding condemnation of the Pied Piper, knowing full well that Russia is now quite popular Trumpophants.  

Sean Hannity, in his first question in his interview with Trump after the news conference immediately launched into conspiracy theories, skipping over the substance of his comments to ask about Trump’s palavering about DNC servers still not examined by the FBI for investigation. Here, he was engaging in now customary conservative whataboutism. How can servers subject to cyberattack change Russian intervention or provide information on interactions with the Trump campaign? The yawning hole in these conspiracy theories is the incredibility of a plan Dems would engineer to lose an election. As advisor to the president, Hannity has often guided him through interviews, throwing up camouflage along the way. No doubt, the two enjoyed some media strategizing over drinks in the hotel or on Air Force One.  

One Republican Oklahoma Congressman blamed news reporters for putting Trump on the spot with gotchas questions. There is not a single American president since WWII who have hesitated even one second to go with his intelligence agents. His supporter said it would be inappropriate for him to criticize Putin while standing next to him. Perhaps he hasn’t seen any of Trump’s previous conferences, where he has had no trouble berating, insulting and attacking democratic allies. Does it make any less sense to confront any enemy; certainly Putin wouldn’t have hesitated for a second to do so. Does the Oklahoman not recall the boldness of their Ronald Reagan when he challenged Mikhail Gorbachev to “Tear down that [Berlin] wall!”? If anything, reporters seemed to be desperately trying to provide Trump with a way up from the deep hole he was digging. But Trump would not take the bait, because his points were scripted and may even have been agreed on in the private session.

The response from Democrats was a given and discounted by conservatives and Republicans and Trump. That’s the game of political shadow boxing. But Rand Paul, a Libertarian had an interesting spin, previewing many of the arguments that will populate Trump run Fox News and the rest of the conservative conspiracy theory/45-sucking media circus.

Paul’s arguments included the whataboutism of charges that the US government had  intervened in over 80 foreign elections since 1940s. Certainly, as an anti-Vietnam War activist and historian, I would never defend US foreign policy under the Dulles brothers, a uncompromising imperialist attack on the Third World under the cover of anti-Communism. Much of the history of the country’s foreign policy has been driven by purely economic interests. Paul conceded that two wrongs don’t make a right. Perhaps, as a Libertarian, Paul has no philosophical allegiance to this country where he’s allowed to say whatever he thinks, unlike citizens in Russia. He seems to have no investment in defending the country against an attempt to destroy it. Is there nothing that would make him condemn Russia? We make salient call to patriotism here.

Instead, whataboutism formed the next component Paul rolled out in defense of Trump’s new path to detente. He contended that criticism of the CelebrityTVPresident is a measure of the intensity of partisan hatred against him, saying if Obama had reset relationships, the Dems would have been ecstatic, completely ignoring the impossibility of Obama’s debasing himself in pursuing such anti-American actions. Paul said that he himself had suggested in the past that the NATO budget be cut, so agreed with Trump’s bullying and tried to make the point that Trump had forced Europeans to change their payment schedules, although the payment schedule had been agreed on before he took office. This was his argument that NATO was stronger by Trump design, a move to hurt Moscow.

One other point, that Paul has made in the past, like 45, that US intelligence can’t be trusted. His example was that the NSA director testified it wasn’t surveilling Americans when it still is. It seems strange that a libertarian would be such a strong supporter of a devotee of the untouchable Chief Executive, but a look back at Paul’s voting record shows that he’s an early critic, perhaps to get additional press coverage, but always votes with the rest of the flock.

In response to the criticism, the RealityTVPresident today fiddled with his message. The news conference has gone well but for the damned news media. He had meant to say “wouldn’t” instead of “would” when he said “I don’t see any reason why it [Russia] would be.” As if that would walk back any of the main points like they hadn’t been said. He’s also tweeted and stated that he believes his intelligence agencies, but you can’t do both – accept Putin’s word and trust your intelligence. In fact, he flubbed the whole retraction by ad libbing, “it could have been others” who were responsible for the meddling.

He did give Republicans enough cover to back away from the need to criticize his betrayal of the country, but he just can’t bring himself to say “Russia did election interference” without qualification. This is no accident. It is another case of the obvious lie: he knows that we know that he’s lying and that’s the point, that he can do it willfully and it makes no difference to what he can do. He will hand the US to Putin on a platter; we just have to watch. As a demonstration, GOP spokesman have tempered their criticism and focused on the message that they understand that Putin is the enemy and Europe is our friend.

Back at home, Russians believe wholeheartedly that Putin interfered in the US elections; it is part of the national agenda to destabilize Western democracies. And Russian citizens support whatever Putin tells them to. They see in him a leader who has made a fool of the US president and they are proud. Trump quotes from that joint conference will reverberate across state media for years to come. Putin has brought the nation back from a global nonentity to equal status with the largest democracy in the world, despite its smaller, struggling economy. Russia has charted a course to become an international influencer in opposition to the United States and the whole of the West, creating new international partnerships and spheres of influence in its historic destiny to create Eurasia, a country spanning the continents of Europe and Asia from the Atlantic to the Pacific.

The only possible good news, is that Trump didn’t give anything concrete away, at least as far as we know so far. Yes he gave the gift of international stature and endless propaganda jewels to Putin, in exchange perhaps for the World Cup soccer ball Putin gave to him. Yes, a country with an economy smaller than California is now a US darling when long term allies in the EU have been called a foe. And yes, he threw American intelligence under the bus. However, his pride was his to sacrifice and don’t worry, he can’t see that. He sacrificed it in pursuit of his better future. The mind is a beautiful thing; we can all be whoever we want as long as we don’t look in the mirror.   

The Russian ambassador and media stories in his home have said that the two leaders agreed to discuss extension of the nuclear arms treaty and on security collaborations in Syria.  We know that Trump wants to get out and Russia wants to finish its involvement by appearing to act as a peacemaker as it props up the Assad regime and kills as many rebel associated individuals as it can. Russian bombing of civilians will continue to drive Muslim immigration to destabilize Europe and after Russia withdraws, ISIS will return to keep spewing up immigrants. The Trump administration had made no comments on either areas of discussion or agreement.

Interestingly, the Washington Post is reporting that White House aides were disappointed at the meetings. After preparing over 100 pages of briefing summaries of all the ways in which Moscow was threatening the United States, they were disappointed that he appeared to have completely ignored them, if he read them at all. They had anticipated a short private meeting before a group lunch followed by a neutral press conference. Even they don’t realize that the Donald had another script master standing at the podium next to his. The press conference probably floated a trial balloon or two to gauge US response to any possible giveaways and to pave the way with conservative propaganda in the US.

Hopefully, while we wait for the other shoe to drop, NATO allies have read the tea leaves and are now on alert to begin charting their own course. Putin, in fact warned them earlier this year that they should not have counted so totally on the US, for they would find themselves abandoned. At the time, we wrote it off as another bit of propaganda, but it could have been an actual teaser. Fortunately, the internet has brought cyber warfare into the military arsenal and its much less costly an investment than massive armament. NATO countries should be ratcheting up their cyber capabilities for both offense and defense. Of course, they will still have to modernize their military forces to some extent. One Swedish woman’s reaction to the meeting was abject fear. Sweden, not a NATO member, shares a border with Russia.

But, they can curtail current expenses by removing their troops that support current US military operations, clearly Trump doesn’t appreciate them. Those military commitments only contribute to needless deaths; Trump is going to hand Iraq  over to Putin, who will ignore at best or at worst, assist ISIS in driving immigrants and terrorists into European countries, in exchange for freedom from terrorist attacks in Russia. Of course, disentangling the alliance is not so easy, but NATO countries need to begin to prepare and evolve a policy for going it alone. Trump may be short term, but 8 years is closer to a decade than it is to a couple of years.

One other interesting note, the last blog, “Why is Trump Putin’s Bonbon?” mentioned Maria Botina, as a Russian contact working with the NRA, a $30 million supporter of the MAGA candidate’s campaign. She was just indicted by the National Security Division of the Justice Department as an agent of a foreign government and for conspiracy. It’s alleged that she courted conservative evangelicals in CPAC as well, seemingly openingly touting her connections with Russians and the Trump campaign. One more piece in the case for coordination between the Kremlin and the Trump campaign. One more reason to understand why Trump is Putin’s b**ch.

Why is Donald Trump Putin’s Bonbon?

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Trump’s euphoria over a chance to further compromise American interests to Vladimir Putin at an upcoming meeting in Helsinki when seen in the context of disclosures about Russian contacts during the Trump campaign and among his administration appointees raises the question, how did Trump become Putin’s bi**ch? Can he really be a Russian agent? A look back at the career of the self reported billionaire provides more substantive evidence than blackmail over the infamous “pee-pee tape”.

Timothy Snyder in The Road To Unfreedom, lays out a pretty cogent argument that Trump’s claim to be a successful businessman comes at the behest of Russian financing. Moscow continued to supplement its past investment during the 2016 campaign. The Russian media, all state owned, celebrated that “ a new star is rising – Trump”. Alexei Pushkov, chair of the foreign relations committee of the lower house of the Russian parliament said that he hoped that “Trump can lead the Western locomotive right off the rails.” Some Putin critics like Andrei Kozyrev a former foreign minister, warned that Putin, “realizes that Trump will trample American democracy and damage if not destroy America as a pillar of stability and major force able to contain him.”

Throughout the campaign, Russian media was put on notice to praise Trump and to trash Hillary Clinton. Sputnik used the #crookedHillary on Twitter. Trump appeared on RT, the international Russian state TV propaganda station, hammering the US media as untruthful, closely modeling Moscow scripts. When Trump won, he was celebrated by Kiselev in Russian media as heralding the return of the kind of manhood that could satisfy blondes, including Ms Clinton, a parallel image to that of the younger Putin. He rejoiced that human rights and democracy were not part of Trump’s rhetoric. Later when Trump as president, had not returned the diplomatic properties seized as part of sanctions under Obama and the Senate voted additional sanctions, Russian media was told to shift to more neutral less often made comments about the RealityTVPresident.

The rise of Donald J Trump from failed New York twice bankrupted real estate developer to purported billionaire presidential candidate was financed primarily by Russian money, as Russian oligarchs were keen to move their money off their shores, from rubles to dollars.

In the late 1990s, Trump was a developer who could not get a loan from any financial institution. He had personally guaranteed $800 million of the $4 billion dollars that he owed to over 70 different banks and seemed to feel no responsibility to repay any of it. After his 2004 bankruptcy, he was an untouchable as far as US financial institutions were concerned. He turned to Deutsche Bank, which has its own history of misconduct including laundering $10 billion in 2015 and 2016 for Russian clients. The Bank has recently come under Mueller investigation subpoena for Trump bank records. And true to form, Trump has not repaid his Deutsche Bank debts either.

As the Soviet Union began the path toward disintegration, Russian gangsters began laundering money by buying and selling apartments in Trump Tower in the 1990s. Trump Tower was one of only two buildings in New York that allowed anonymous purchases of apartment units and Russians were quick to take advantage of the opportunity. Some of his Russian tenants continued their illegal activities; several were arrested for a gambling ring operating out of Trump Tower just one floor below Trump.

Russians were prominent buyers in a number of Trump properties. Between 1999 and 2001, at Trump World Tower near United Nations Plaza, about one third of the units were sold to individuals or business entities from the former Soviet Union. The Treasury Department investigated one Trump World resident for money laundering.

Shifting from New York to Trump’s south Florida properties, a substantial number of units, perhaps as many as 70%, have been purchased by shell corporations, admittedly not all of them Russian. Two men associated with one of those shell companies were the ones convicted of the gambling and money laundering scheme operating from Trump Tower.

Trump sold one of his south Florida homes to Dmitry Rybolovlev for $55 million more than he paid for it. Rybolovlev never lived in the home, but did begin showing up in places where Trump was campaigning. Donald Trump Jr has been honest about Trump businesses revenue streams, admitting in 2008 that a significant portion of Trump company assets came from “money pouring in from Russia.”

Since buying proved lucrative enough, the oligarchs moved on to building. It was a pretty sweet deal for Trump. The “partner” put Trump’s name on the building for a licensing fee, offered him millions of dollars upfront and a share of the profits, laundering even higher amounts of cash. In 2006, Russians financed Trump SoHo, from which Trump took 18% without putting up a dime. The money came through the Bayrock Group, coordinated by Felix Sater, a senior advisor of the Trump Organization working out of a Trump Tower office. He arranged for former Soviets to buy apartments using shell companies. Since 2007, Bayrock and Sater cooperated on at least four projects around the world. While some of these projects were unsuccessful, Trump could not lose; he invested nothing and made money no matter what the fate of the project was. Even as late as October, 2015 after he had announced his nomination for president, Trump signed an intent to build a long sought after Trump-named tower in Moscow, which was still in play through the early days of his administration.

The latest incarnation of the Trump Family Business is one flush with cash, unencumbered by debt to lending institutions. Awash in laundered Russian money, the company embarked on buying sprees, including vineyards, clubs and golf courses, both domestic and international, famously in Turnberry and Aberdeen in Scotland and Doonbeg in Ireland. The company continues to make international partnerships for Trump named buildings, in the Middle East, Dubai, Saudi Arabia and Asia. There is a Trump building in Busan South Korea. Some projects involved partners who skirted the law, like the Indian men who posted the photo of their visit with the president elect in Trump Tower all over social media. They were later prosecuted for permit corruption in India. Or the brothers from Azerbaijan who are known to have ties with gangsters and smugglers. There was even a Russian shell company that contributed to the fund that Michael Cohen used to pay Stormy Daniels.

It seems certain that part of the reason Trump has refused to release his income taxes is that they would have disclosed some of these Russian money men, although shell corporations are a useful hedge against disclosure of the names of those involved. Still, the New York Times and the Washington Post would be dogged on the trail.

Once Trump announced his candidacy, there was an uptick of interest in his properties among shell companies just as Trump needed campaign funding. Between the nominating convention in August and the November election, 70% of Trump Company units were sold to limited liability companies.

Trump became nationally known through his TV reality show, The Apprentice, where he portrayed a mogul who whimsically determined each contestants fate by dismissing them with an emphatic “You’re fired!” We now know that character is a fiction; as president, he seems unable to fire staff in person, sending a subordinate to deliver the word. Or, because he’s a Tiger-by-Tweet, he publicly berates his employee until he surrenders with a letter of resignation. It’s become abundantly clear that when the person is in the room, the Donald recedes from confrontation because he wants more than anything to be loved and admired. This does not preclude him from raging at and degrading his staff when he is angry, but he expects they will accept that for the honor of working for him. They are just little people unimportant in the grand scheme of things.

Donald J Trump, the successful businessman candidate who ran for president, was in fact a Reality TV character, a business failure until Russian oligarchs, laundering their plunder from the Russian economy, came to his rescue. Trump supporters were taken in by the fantasy of the self made businessman, even in the face of his initial $1 million funding from his father which he then lost. They had no idea that the bankrupted figure only bounced back by operating in the shadowy world of business practices involved in money laundering for Russian gangsters and expatriates. The fantasy of the successful businessman played out in the 2013 Miss Universe Pageant in Moscow. Trump’s Russian partners paid him $20 million to organize the pageant in Moscow for him. His partner in the pageant enterprise was Aras Agalarov, whose name pops up later as one of the people who arranged the meeting of Donald Jr with the Russian lawyer, Natalia Veselnitskaya, and others during the campaign. That meeting in Trump Tower, initially reported to discuss adoption, was really an offer to provide dirt on Hillary Clinton. Agalarov’s lawyer, Ike Kveladze, was one of those present in the Trump Tower meeting. Kveladze’s main business practice is the establishment of thousands of anonymous companies in the US. An honest candidate would have notified the FBI of the approach from a Russian agent, but Donald Jr responded by email with glee, “goodie; bring it on.” He was perhaps too stupid to know that the intelligence agencies monitor persons suspected of being foreign agents.

Joep Bertrams / The Netherlands

Joep Bertrams / The Netherlands

It is common practice in Russia for the wealthy to happily provide easy money but they expect to collect on the obligation later. It is the way most business gets done in the motherland. But there is always a later. Not only did Russian money create Trump’s successful businesses, it also aggressively promoted that fantasy image as it fanned out its campaign propaganda across media platforms in the US. In the custom of “you scratch my back, I’ll scratch yours”, Trump’s been doling out payback for quite some time.

Trump administration appointees reveal the kind of people he’s surrounded himself with for years. His long time associates seem to have had a pension for shadowy activity skirting the law or in the netherworld just outside legal boundaries. His long time lawyer is a perfect example of that. Michael Cohen operated like a Mafia consigliere on behalf of Trump, bullying and threatening creditors and anyone threatening to sue his major client and handling the dirty work of hush money payments, all from an office in Trump Tower.  

There are a significant number of 45’s Cabinet appointees who have Russian business associations or contact during the campaign; those who don’t, like Betsy DeVos, were hand picked by the billionaire funders in the Koch brothers grouping. The number of contacts between lower level campaign operatives and Kremlin agents suggests a common pattern of grooming contacts, a staple in the practice of espionage. Multiple persons are approached in the hope of capturing one or two. Sometimes, the threat to reveal the contact is enough to compel compliance. The TV series, The Americans is just brilliant in its portrayal of Soviet Union spy craft, not much changed in some respects today. The CIA also uses similar techniques for recruiting.

The earliest known Trump associate in the Russian orbit is Paul Manafort, now jailed awaiting trial on money laundering and other charges. We know that he managed Ukrainian president Yanukovych election in 2010. Less well known is that from 2006 to 2009, he worked for a Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska to influence policy in the US. He accumulated a $18.9 million debt to Deripaska. During his tenure as Trump’s campaign manager, he convinced the GOP to soften its position on Russian action in Crimea in its platform. Influenced by his looming debt, Manafort offered Deripaska “private briefings” on the campaign in an effort to alleviate some of his obligation. Deripaska has his own separate link to Trump; they share a lawyer named Marc Kasowitz.

It was Manafort who introduced Russian style propaganda techniques into the heart of the Trump campaign, although it must be said that Trump’s instinct from early on in the birther movement had carried him far in that direction. With Manafort came Trump’s public solicitation of Russian intelligence to intervene in the election campaign by finding and leaking Clinton’s missing emails, even as he was by then aware of Russian efforts on his behalf. Although Manafort was forced to resign as campaign manager, he continued to advise the MAGA candidate, well into the transition team after his victory.

Information on the president’s son-in-law, Ivanka’s husband Jared Kushner and his contacts with Russian agents has become well known. He was involved in the adoption turned Hillary dirt meeting. He met with Russian diplomatic representatives, including Sergei Kislyak, the ambassador, to set up a secret “back channel” with Moscow through the Russian embassy. But Kushner has earlier financial ties in the real estate world for his company, taken over from his father when his father was jailed for fraud and illegal campaign contributions, courtesy of Chris Christie. That was the albatross that precluded his appointment to the Trump administration.

Kushner also declined to de-vest himself of his financial interests which made a reported $222 million for him last year while holding over $800 million in assets. While most of his company’s projects have involved Chinese, Saudi or Middle Eastern investments as well as Israeli, Kushner’s properties have also benefited from loans from Deutsche Bank and Russian/shell corporation buyers.

Among the minor players in the Trump campaign, George Papadopoulos, a struggling recent grad trying to make his way into a foreign policy job, met as a foreign policy advisor with contacts who represented themselves as agents of the Russian government offering dirt on Ms Clinton. When a drunken Papadopoulos shared that information with an Australian diplomat in a London bar, the diplomat relayed that information to the FBI, which initiated the agency’s investigation. When this information became public, Trump naturally denied that Papadopoulos had any role in the campaign and never relented, even after a photo showed the two in a meeting together. While Trump and conservatives have characterized the initial FBI investigation as an attack from Obama and the establishment, the FBI is actually tasked with assessing the risk of and protecting potential presidents from blackmail or influence peddling.

Carter Page, another Trump foreign policy advisor, has always had a pro-Moscow bias, from his time there as a student. He worked as a lobbyist for Russian gas companies and while working for the campaign promised that Trump would serve their interests. He owned shares in Gazprom, a Russian Gas company when he became a Trump advisor.  He also represented the Trump campaign at a meeting in Russia in July 2016 and on his return, he was instrumental in softening the GOP platform position on punishing Russia for its Ukrainian invasion.

And of course there was Michael Flynn, who not only actively engaged in Clinton rumor and conspiracy mongering during the campaign but also retweeted many a racist post. He had visited Russian military intelligence headquarters in 2013 and received an award from RT as a paid guest, where he sat at a table with Putin. He promoted a plan to build nuclear power plants in the Middle East in cooperation with Russian companies during 2015, which he later failed to disclose for his security clearance. Both Obama and Sally Yates, then deputy Attorney General tried to warn Trump off appointing Flynn to his cabinet, particularly in a national security post. We know Flynn’s fate and his subsequent legal difficulties. We have yet to hear his sentence after pleading guilty, still tied up in the Mueller investigation.

Wilbur Ross, the Secretary of Commerce has had financial dealings with Russian oligarchs, and actually with Putin’s family. As vice chairman and leading investor in the Bank of Cyprus, an offshore haven for Russian oligarch cash, one of his colleagues was Vladimir Strzhalkovsky, who had worked with Putin in the KGB. Another major investor in the bank was Viktor Vekselberg, a close associate of Putin as well. After moving to head the Commerce Department, Ross resigned from the Bank, but retained part ownership of Navigator Holdings, a shipping company that transported Russian natural gas for Sibur. Two of Sibur’s owners are Gennady Timchencko, a judo partner and close friend of Putin’s, and Kirill Shamalov, Putin’s son-in-law. Ross is in a pivotal position to affect sanctions on Russia, through which some of the economic mechanisms could pass.

And then there was Rex Tillerson at Secretary of State, negotiator of oil and gas agreements for Exxon Mobile as its Chief Executive Officer. He received a Russian medal from Putin himself for that role. Poor Rex has already moved on to rehab for former Trump staff, but not before he hollowed out the State Department of long term staff and diplomatic personnel which has still left many consulate positions empty and many countries without a name to contact locally when issues with the US arise. He left a crippling legacy for US diplomacy as his actions interrupted the pipeline of young diplomats to future administrative positions, issues which Mike Pompeo has not prioritized as he scurries to North Korea, the G-7, NATO, and Helsinki.

There is even Russian influence to be found in campaign funding. A Russian group, Right to Bear Arms, an anachronism in a country where no citizen has any hope of carrying arms legally and no organization is allowed to oppose government policy, forged a relationship with the NRA, an enthusiastic supporter of the MAGA candidate. The NRA appears to have missed that red flag, pun intended. Or for all its talk of patriotic fervor, it doesn’t care where its funding came from. The RBA could only have been a Moscow sanctioned front. Maria Butina and Alexander Torshin, prominent RBA members, are also dues paying members of the NRA. Butina, a student in the US, co-founded a company with a guy working closely with NRA leadership. Torshin is a former Russian central banker wanted in Spain for money laundering. In 2015, as arranged by the RBA, a group from the NRA visited with Dmitry Rogozin in Russia; he was a radical national deputy under US sanctions at the time.

Torshin met with Donald Jr in May of 2016 in Kentucky, just before the NRA endorsed Trump and began donating their over $30 million to his campaign. Along the way, the NRA reversed its official position that the US had been too soft on Russia, to its opposite. These Kremlin efforts parallel those of support for right wing paramilitary forces in Hungary, Slovakia and the Czech Republic.

Some landmarks in Russia’s propaganda correlate closely with political developments in the Republican Party. Obama’s presidency raised the subject of race in Russian media circles. Social media pushed images associating Barack and Michelle with bananas, the obvious time honored reference to individuals of African heritage as apes. On Obama’s birthday in 2014, students projected an image of Obama performing fellatio on a banana on a Moscow building. And when Mitch McConnell announced that the Merrick Garland Supreme Court justice nomination was dead in March, 2016, Moscow began its email hack of Democratic politicians. The Kremlin was quick to read the tea leaves.

When Republican majority leader in the House, Kevin McCarthy approached Paul Ryan in June, 2016 with a concern that Trump was paid by Russia, Ryan instructed him to bury that thought for the good of the party. McCarthy had earlier named Dana Rohrabacher, Congressman from California as another possible paid agent. In 2016, Rohrabacher visited Moscow, reportedly to collect documents that would help Trump get elected. He, too, has come under the watchful eye of Robert Mueller.

The  month following McCarthy’s discussion with Ryan, the Kremlin began to release the hacked DNC emails, the timing of which we know Donald Jr had some advanced notification as detailed in his emails. Putin was betting that the GOP would hop on the bandwagon to exploit the DNC revelations for political gain and run as far away from indignation at Russian interference as possible. That was a well-placed bet; the GOP is still doing it, aptly demonstrated in the grilling of FBI agent Peter Strzok in a Congressional hearing reminiscent of the best of Joe McCarthy, but with more Democratic resistance.  As Timothy Snyder put it in The Road To Unfreedom, “It was more important to humiliate a black president [by fighting bipartisan response to Russian hacking] than it was to defend the independence of the United States of America.” (p257)

When McConnell reacted to the briefing from Obama in August 2016 about CIA confirmed evidence that the Russians were interfering in the 2016 election in an effort to damage Hillary Clinton and elect Trump, the Senate leader committed to the weaponization of the information as a campaign smear emanating from Obama, a sworn Republican enemy. Russian trolls and bots stepped into the breach in overdrive. This despite Obama’s intimidation by the GOP and his failure to announce Moscow’s role publicly and aggressively push themes of joining together in defending the country. (see oleblacklady.wordpress.com-What If Obama Had Announced That Russians Interfered In The 2016 Election?)

When Trump’s pussy-grabbing confession momentarily grabbed public attention, Wikileaks released some DNC emails within a half an hour of the release of the Access Hollywood tape. Kremlin bots and trolls ramped up their activity pushing a narrative drawing attention to the content of the leaked emails rather than the CelebrityPresident’s misogyny or the criminal activity of the hacking itself.

Perhaps one of the most dangerous developments to date is that 45 has established what is as close as he can get to his own state run TV station, Fox News. In this instance, it is not “state” run but Trump run as his own private propaganda machine. Since the departure of Roger Ailes, Trump has essentially slipped into the position of executive producer of Fox News even as he is one of its most ardent fans. They have their own feedback loop. Trump spends a fair amount of time watching TV, in early morning, during the midday and after dinner from around 8 pm. He probably spends more time in front of the TV than on any official business. He watches a story on Fox and then tweets that story directly which sets up a feedback loop; Fox then covers the president’s cover of the Fox coverage.

More and more, Fox personnel are populating the administration: Larry Kudlow, Bill Shine, now White House Deputy Chief of Staff and John Bolton whose most recent jobs have included Fox News commentator. Shine, the man who helped conceal the multiple accusations and commissions of sexual assault and harassment at the Fox Network, will bring more of Fox to the White House, its slick visual appearance and wordology. He may also assist with any forthcoming sexual harassment scandals.

Sean Hannity, a high school grad who went from construction worker to local talk radio before ascending to the chief conspiracy theorist on Fox News, is also an unofficial advisor. He may be as close to a friend as Trump has. They speak nightly, play golf and enjoy junkets to his properties together. When Trump can’t watch Hannity in real time, he DVRs the show and watches it the next day. Hannity knows well enough to feed Trump’s ego and no doubt develops conspiracies to please him in a quest to shield Trump from the consequences of his indebtedness to Moscow. Trump has call-in privileges to the Fox News, an unobstructed pipeline for his propaganda. For the first time in US history, we have a Chief Executive run network for his own personal agenda, not that of the federal government. The station only reflects the Republican Party as it has ceased to be an entity separate from the cult of Trumpism. The party is now fielding candidates who have sworn allegiance to 45 and the party regulars have either kneeled before the captain or jumped overboard. The few who have chosen to fight will do so outside the electoral process, carping at the edges of the party hoping people will come to their senses.

Fox provides an exclusive viewing audience. Most Trumpophants watch Fox News exclusively, 24 hours a day. And the network creates and lives in its own reality where it holds its audience captive. They hear nothing critical of the orange giant except as the information is distorted to lampoon Liberal ogres. As Fox News forms a shield to protect viewers against any objective pieces of information; the viewers in turn don’t believe them because they can’t find the item in the Fox News landscape. 45 has envied Putin his control of state media; Fox News is as close an approximation as he can get right now. It is an extraordinary step into autocracy, one that demonstrates what Putin calls the weakness of democracy. It springs from the junction of capitalism, free enterprise and free press.

Trump as a candidate was audacious enough, as the Russian propaganda machine was running full throttle across social media, to call out “Russia, if you’re listening, I hope you’re able to find the 30,000 [missing Hillary Clinton] emails”. And we now know, because of the indictment of 12 Russians for their hacking activities, that the Kremlin responded by trying to hack Clinton’s servers that same day. It was just the latest extension of hacker activity already well underway since 2015. Once again in response to the indictments, our Trojan Horse has come out, guns blazing, trying to muddle Moscow’s action into the mash of the investigation of “collusion”, when in fact, it is an investigation of Russia’s interference and the president’s obstruction of that investigation. His first remark about any revelation from the investigation is that it clears him of “collusion”, although it has never done that, simply because the evidence is not complete. But more importantly, evidence has concluded that there were Trump campaign operatives contacted by Russian agents although the links to Trump have not been revealed. As for obstruction of justice, that is a completely different element of the Mueller investigation and to date, Republicans and Trump have been successful in stonewalling evidence gathering from the person who knows the answers but will never tell.  His job is to obfuscate, to deny, to tell the obvious lie and to charge the intelligence agencies with partisanship. Undermining our intelligence forces in general is another plank in the campaign to discredit agencies involved in US national security, to make the country all the more vulnerable to Russian aggressions over the long term.

The immediate objective is to stabilize Trump’s reign. He has to give substance to his “witch hunt” lie, in order to allow Congress to let him off the hook. Simultaneously, he’s building his cadre of sycophants to threaten to overthrow the government, a so called Constitutional crisis, if it comes to that or even worse, a more violent attempt that could result in the declaration of marshal law, suspending Habeas Corpus, further compromising civil liberties and threatening the freedom of the press.

Donald Trump became the successful businessman candidate by laundering rubles from Russian oligarchs to dollars beginning in the early 1990s. There is no Russian oligarch who doesn’t owe his riches to Vladimir Putin. He has either facilitated the acquisition of the fortune or allowed its retention; those who cross him will find themselves penniless and sometimes dead. As Putin developed his recent strategy, beginning around 2012, to destabilize Western democracies enough for them to disintegrate from within, Moscow’s long term investment in a failed American businessman proved ripe for that tap on the shoulder calling in his debt.

trump-as-russian-puppetThe man who would become the RealityTVPresident is Putin’s most successful campaign to date. He parrots Putin’s propaganda. He pursues Putin’s objectives in international relations: to disrupt NATO and European defense, making Eastern European countries on NATO’s fringes vulnerable to seizure. To disrupt international trade through a trade war powered by tariffs, weakening national economies and halting growth. To disrupt the European Union, encouraging countries to leave. Trump has spouted Putin’s agenda in recent weeks, carrying his message into the heart of those very organizations. In a recent interview, he couldn’t have been clearer, “I think the EU is a foe,”, qualified by adding “in terms of trade.” 

“I think it would be a good idea for us to have a good relationship with Russia”, the CelebrityPresident has said often. Before the Helsinki meeting with Putin, he purred, “We will have an extraordinary relationship.” The two figures already have one. He’s speaking from his own experience. Russia has made him president of the United States. Who could ask for anything more?

Still, the future is in our hands. Only Americans can end the tyranny of minority rule and find a way back to the tenets of democracy.  We are the premiere democracy in the world and we are struggling to retain our democratic traditions, not just because a Putin puppet is in the White House, but also because we have fallen prey to the illusion of division. We are victims of our own little mini news outlets crescendoing into a cacophony of fictional depictions of who we are, where we came from, what our country is about and how we can go forward.

There are no truth boundaries anymore, a further extension of the reigning idea that one can do or say whatever one can get away with. American oligarchs, having poisoned our well through decades of political machinations funded by enormous financial resources designed to divide citizens through hate mongering, achieved their goal. The rise of a movement to elect a White Supremacist-in-Chief is the culmination. The very accumulation of their wealth created hopelessness in the lower 90th percentile, the breeding ground where many white Americans have traded the prospect of a better future for a valiant defense of fictional past American innocence. Just over 60% of eligible people voted and now we must live with that vote, even as it was inequitably distributed through magical transformation in the electoral college. But none of us should accept it, or our democracy is lost. As Timothy Snyder quoted RT, “No one really ever tells the truth, perhaps there is no truth, so let us simply repeat the things we like to hear and obey those who say them.” (p 274) That way lies authoritarianism.

What If Obama Had Announced That Russians Interfered in the 2016 Election in July?

obama-hope-poster

As we remember fondly the days of the Obama presidency, he has taken on the mythic proportions of an unerring Chief Executive under siege from a vengeful partisan Republican Party and conservative allies who put their party above their country. Of course, no one is unerring, particularly politicians who are forced to make compromises in order to rule. Barack could be too deliberative, pondering issues even as events progressed more quickly than his decision making process. Like other presidents, he had victories, like the Iran Nuclear Treaty and some less successful efforts, like a response in Syria and Ukraine. And while Obamacare expanded access, it did nothing to address quality of healthcare, the escalating cost of medications as well as medical care, as opposed to the cost of medical insurance.

The inability of both Obama and his advisors to read the evolution of the 2016 campaign and the dangers of the right wing media storm may have led him to misjudge his options around disclosure of Russian interference in the campaign. But then again, the retrospectoscope has an unerring view. We will never know when and what information Obama and the FBI had access to nor will we know fully how the GOP responded. That information may become more available in decades to come, from memoirs after crucial elements have been declassified. With  GOP leadership as engrained in the art of fabrication as their erstwhile leader, verifiable information is unlikely to emerge from that quarter. There is high likelihood that there will be a number of attempts at reshaping historical perceptions to cleanse some soiled reputations.

The story begins long before 2016. Ben Rhodes, a former White House aide and national security advisor said in an interview on NPR’s Fresh Air that from the very first day in 2008, the threat of Russian espionage was a given; it had been the norm for years. It was emphasized to everyone in the administration that communications should be made secure from not just the Russians, but other foreign interests like the Chinese. So it took them awhile to realize that a change not seen before in Russian tactics was afoot.

One early indicator was the violation of what had been a diplomatic norm, release of top secret information to the public. The release from Moscow of a phone call between an American diplomat about the situation in Ukraine, was a Russian trial balloon. The fact that the leak was about the Ukraine reflected Putin’s blaming the US for the need for regime change in that country. This was a complete fiction. When the Moscow puppet, Yanukovych, resigned in 2014, Putin claimed that the US had a hand in the national demonstrations on the Maidan which had actually been completely spontaneous. This was a piece of propaganda fabricated to legitimize the Russian invasion, claiming the necessity to restore order that Russian troops and gangs were causing. That was ultimately folded into Putin’s domestic propaganda that the Russian people are under siege from the West which fed his assertion that the motherland should reclaim the state of Ukraine. Ukrainians, he preached, had always been part of the Russian peoples.

In February of 2014, Russian tanks and military units invaded Crimea and later annexed it. But there were other incursions into other parts of Ukraine, still ongoing today. In coordination with the military action, Russia mounted TV and social media campaigns, using the same groups tied to bots later used in the US. They also seized the electrical power grid twice, once in Kiev and once in the countryside. Ukrainian operators were only able to recover control because they still maintained an old system from the 1950s. This level of cyber manipulation frightened intelligence officials here and teams were sent to the Ukraine to try to unravel the intrusion and determine if we had the same vulnerabilities.

Unfortunately, no one in the United States believed that Putin would be bold enough to export his “active measures” programs to our shores. Russia had tried to interfere in US elections in the past; small isolated attempts that amounted to little. As David Sanger, author of “The Perfect Weapon” detailed in an interview on NPR’s Fresh Air, when they discovered the servers in the State Department, the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the White House (not those with classified information) had been hacked, the administration did not see it as something other than routine Russian espionage. Their response was to fight to get the hackers out, which in the case of the White House took 2 weeks, but not to publicly denounce Moscow or even acknowledge and exact a price quietly from the Kremlin. Even in light of the Ukrainian experience, intelligence officials did not see that the bits and pieces heralded a new much more aggressive posture in Moscow. Sanger openly condemns Obama’s failure to react forcefully as a critical error in policy implementation. Putin is one who will keep pushing boundaries until someone pushes back. No response meant a green light to him; if they didn’t care about important government agencies like the State Department and the Joint Chiefs of Staff, they won’t respond to hacking the Democratic Party National Committee, which is after all, a nongovernmental, private organization.

The DNC was well aware of its security vulnerabilities but decided the expense was far greater than the risk and their war chest was better spent on the campaign. Internet security seems to be the last thing on organizational and business lists. The DNC chose to defer until after the election. But after the hack, the interaction with the FBI was downright comical. The failure of the FBI to officially inform the DNC can only be considered dereliction of duty. But the DNC hemming and hawing in response was absurd. It was not until the next spring, fully 9 months after FBI contact with the DNC that Obama was made aware.

Still, nobody could envision the reality that Putin had transformed Russian “active measures” into a multi-pronged attack, with a broad array of instruments to weaponize information in an attempt to assist Donald Trump to win the Presidential election. In that assertion, now confirmed by Senate Intelligence Committee report, we have to believe the FBI and words of the Russian operatives and the Trump campaign officials they were trying to groom. Again, Russian propaganda in Ukraine and the associated domestic state media at home that declared there was no war in Crimea and Ukraine set the example.

 As slow as they were in detecting the coordinated hacking, the administration couldn’t decide what to do about it.  Some in the administration wanted to push Putin hard. They debated direct cyber attacks on Russian infrastructure. There were suggestions to expose Putin’s money trail. In all likelihood, that would have produced little more than a yawn amongst Russians. They all know he’s corrupt; that’s just a given for their whole government and there is little they can do about it. Putin is pretty secure with or without their support; he can just crack down a little harder when things get slightly out of control.

There were ideas to perhaps make some of Putin’s money disappear. But the Federal Reserve generally frowns on extralegal activity, even if governmental, that could lead to loss in confidence in international monetary structures and threaten a collapse of international currencies. Another idea was to cut Moscow off from the International Monetary Fund, but that action would have left Europe unable to pay for the oil and natural gas supplied from Russian fields, leaving EU countries to face the then upcoming winter. The extensive review of legal precedents before deciding on countermeasures also retarded decision making. Still, they thought they would have time to come up with the perfect response.

In August the CIA delivered a top secret report to Obama and 3 other aides that explained the sources in Moscow had evidence that Putin was involved in cyberattacks to help Trump get elected.

In August the CIA delivered a top secret report to Obama and 3 other aides that explained sources deep in the government in Moscow had evidence that Putin was directly involved in the cyber campaign to assist the election of Donald Trump by disrupting the electoral process. At that point, Russian intelligence services were the known culprits in the DNC hack and forwarding the 20,000 emails for WikiLeaks to drop online and the FBI had begun an investigation into contacts between Trump campaign associates and Russian officials. The GRU, Russian Military Intelligence agency, was confirmed as the second agency that hacked into the DNC, leaking its information on their own DCLeaks.com. Still, there were problems in the intelligence gathering for the FBI report, in part because of their strict letter of the law approach that hindered collection of data on Americans who may had been drawn into the middle of Russia’s “active measures”. One may find that hard to believe to hear it from the conservative conspiracy theorists, 

But they did know that Russian hackers had been probing voter registration databases in almost 15 states. What if they reaped chaos in the election, questioning its integrity and credibility, playing into Trump’s hands, especially when Clinton won? Trump’s Moscow assisted propaganda about rigging the election could become a political crisis, with Trump’s refusal to accept the results and the sanctioning of extra legal actions against the newly elected Clinton administration. Clearly, the CIA report upped the stakes by pointing to a systematically directed effort in multiple places to at least produce chaos and at best, elect a president in Donald Trump. In response, Obama sent aides to determine vulnerabilities in the election system and facilitate agreement among the intelligence agencies to agree that Putin was trying to influence the election. And John Brennan,  in a phone call, warned Alexander Bortnikov, director of Russia’s main security agency to cease and desist. By that point the evidence was conclusive.

In the meantime, Brennan convened a secret task force, including CIA, NSA, and FBI officials, whose work was kept secret from the rest of the intelligence agencies and the White House. Susan Rice, AG Loretta Lynch, James Comey, Clapper and Brennan met to consider options to respond.

Jeh Johnson, Homeland Security Secretary, was seeking mechanisms to reinforce security in the patchwork of state voting systems burdened with aging, outmoded machines and software. His first idea was to designate state voting mechanisms as “critical infrastructure” which would mean that the states would get priority in federal cybersecurity assistance, similar to that of US defense contractors and financial networks. But in an August 15 conference call with dozens of state officials, he was greeted not with a bipartisan patriotic response for national security against a hostile country, but a flat if not downright negative response. Some states called foul over the “overreach of the federal government”. The “critical infrastructure” designation would give the feds access to state-level voter information. Brian Kemp, Georgia Secretary of State and fitting representative descendant of the treasonous Confederacy, denounced the proposal as an assault on states’ rights. He has since pronounced himself a non-believer in Russian interventions in his unquestioning support of Trump as he runs as a gubernatorial candidate. Truly, it was the Pavlovian Republican response of State Liberty or Die!

By late August, Obama had instructed aides to pursue ways to deter Putin, get a high confidence assessment from US intelligence agencies on Russia’s role and intent, shore up vulnerabilities in election systems in each state and elicit bipartisan support from congressional leaders for a statement to condemn Russia and urge states to accept federal help in improving security.

But intelligence agencies outside the CIA were slow to endorse its conclusions about Putin’s direct involvement and the intent to help Trump. Some were unconvinced by sources that came from other countries. In addition, Brennan was refused appointments with certain GOP leaders and it wasn’t until September that both the majority and minority leaders of both houses and the chairmen and ranking Democrats on the intelligence committees in both houses had been reached.

It seems intuitive that Republican reticence to receive additional briefings was politically motivated. With Trump down in the polls, the news of Russian sabotage on  his behalf could have been the nail in his coffin, even if charges of sexual molestation weren’t. Their campaign propaganda was dominated by the “crooked Hillary” theme and their candidate would have been revealed as even more crooked, with a treasonous twist. They were intentionally delaying any discussion of a need to reprimand Moscow, in a world where Representatives are expected to put politics aside when the country is under siege, they would have to reveal their duplicity in defending their candidate. The delay was in essence tying Obama’s hands in responding to the threat by denying him a united front.

Of particular concern were voting systems. Moscow had hacked Ukraine’s Central Election Commission to increase totals for a far-right candidate in the Ukrainian elections of 2014 after Yanukovych had fled to Russia, just barely foiled in one district before they could announce their favored candidate as a winner despite lower vote totals. And they knew Russia had been inside the voter registration systems in several states. However, because voting procedures are controlled on the local level, any attempt to plug security holes would require the administration to go to the states and deal with GOP voting officials and governors.

vote-hereThe FBI had detected attempts to penetrate election systems in 21 states, some done so clumsily that they were meant to be detected to induce anxiety in Americans hearing or viewing all the chatter about rigged elections. Probably unbeknownst to intelligence at the time, Moscow’s operatives were pumping social media with discordant messages about illegal voters, fraudulent election results, etc. Admittedly, manipulations in the approximate 3000 precincts is a clumsy, labor intensive and ineffective way to swing elections, without knowing information about crucial districts. They speculated that attempts would be made in all 50 states.

At the time, they also probably didn’t know about possible and still unconfirmed links to Cambridge Analytica and/or RNC campaign social messaging individually targeted down to the household. The intricacies of that whole interaction are still not entirely clear. It is worth noting that Jared Kushner could theoretically have been a critical connector in his role overseeing campaign media communications. Knowledgeable experts have marveled at the campaign’s neighborhood level pinpoint accuracy using targeted social media. The campaign is known to have used Cambridge Analytica, a consulting firm funded by ultra conservative billionaire Robert Mercer, which specializes in strategic communications using data mining. Access to those kinds of data, either through consent or through stealth could have easily improved Russian efforts. Bart Parscale, Trump campaign social media director, denies that they used any Cambridge Analytica data. Taking advantage of a Facebook service for political candidates, he contends that they created their messaging strategy with embedded like minded Facebook employees who helped them develop precisely targeted messages through trial and error. In turn, the campaign fielded millions of paid Facebook ads. Kushner’s testimony on this area is high stakes, but, given the family history, unlikely to be truthful. It’s only been a few months since it was revealed that Cambridge Analytica had compiled data from perhaps 50 million Facebook users, unbeknownst to them for use in political campaign messaging for the RNC.

All voting is local. Electoral systems are generally managed by county or state officials. Election practices vary widely across different states with different population densities. This leads to a voting process that varies from county to county; this can be considered a strength in defense against an organized attack. In a system that is composed of widely dispersed nonuniform entry points, pinpointing strategic strikes is complicated and requires multiple actions, depending on the desired objective.But across the board, election agencies are generally poorly financed and staffed, without expertise in internet technology or internet security; polls are staffed by older volunteers with even less IT savvy.  Election officials are elected, generally a Secretary of State, which introduces a political spin to maintenance of both voter rolls and access to the voting booth as well as financial commitments to upkeep of the voting apparatus. In most districts, election agencies are left with aging equipment and software that will require a major infusion of cash and security expertise that many cash strapped state budgets can little afford. Added to this confusion, individual counties determine their own rules about polling place locations, hours and staffing and ballots, including the number of languages in which they will be written. These have become effective tools in partisan disenfranchisement efforts. All of these factors leave the voting process vulnerable in this day of sophisticated computer hacking especially because of hyper-partisanship at the state and county level that naturally inhibits the idea of change or exchange of ideas.

Part of Republican state officials’ reluctance to respond to FBI assistance with security is the party’s pension for dirty tricks at the polls. Over the last decade such tactics have significantly changed the political landscape, quietly disenfranchising millions and millions of voters across the country. The influence of those purged voters, overwhelmingly minorities, young people and the elderly, could ultimately have affected the 2016 electoral college totals because there were numerous narrow state margins that propelled Trump to victory. This is extraordinarily important because unlike Russian interventions, we can take action against this kind of activity to reclaim our democracy. Americans are free to make dumb mistakes and if a legitimate majority of the country is satisfied with the Trump administration, then so be it. At the same time, future opposition candidates must have an equal possibility of winning electoral office in a fair fight.

More details on federal knowledge about the Russian electoral interventions in the 2016 election is worth discussing. Russian attacks on elections extend back to at least 2008, when both Obama and McCain campaigns were hacked. But the attacks were ephemeral, with the culprits quickly exiting the systems. Putin’s new “active measures” was entirely different. On a primary day in June 2016 in Riverside County, California the district attorney’s office began fielding a lot of complaints from people attempting to vote, that their registrations had been changed without their knowledge but most were able to cast provisional ballots. In the following days, there were more people who came forward with the same complaints. District attorney investigators concluded that the changes had been made by hackers using private information like social security and driver’s license numbers to access the central voter registration database for the entire state. Unfortunately, the state system did not capture the IP addresses of the computers that had made the changes so the trail went dead. Opposing political responses were predictable; the Republicans thought the Dems were trying to suppress GOP votes in the overwhelmingly Democratic state. The Dems thought their opponents were trying to excuse their losses. And there it was; public faith in the electoral process had been dented and as it dawned on federal investigators later, that was the point.

The summer of 2016 saw more attacks in Arizona and in Illinois, a hacker uploaded a malicious code that allowed access to all 15 million current and past voter files for the previous 10 years; he/she stayed for 3 weeks, without being detected. When Illinois discovered the cyber intrusion in July, the FBI Cyber Action Team (CAT) was able to determine that 90,000 files were stolen, the majority of which had social security and driver’s license numbers. But more importantly the hackers tried to change/delete information in the voter rolls. The techniques and digital footprints convinced the FBI that this was the work of Fancy Bear, an arm of Russian military intelligence (GRU).

By August 2016, the FBI had found evidence that hackers had been probing voter registration databases in almost 15 states. Georgia was not one of those states, although there is probably no way to know that given poor security safeguards and the state’s refusal to allow outside review of the system or assistance from Homeland Security to investigate or assist with security enhancements. Georgia’s story is instructive because it uses paperless voting machines like several other states which are both old, circa 2002 and known to have serious security concerns. Georgia has been considered a model of exemplary state voting systems and officials are regularly asked to educate other states and even foreign governments.

Georgia uses one single model of voting machine throughout the state, unlike most states that use multiple different models. These touch screen machines, made by the now defunct Diebold which became Premier Election Solutions, have been in use since 2002. The company also made the associated software for the state’s ExpressPoll poll books which are the electronic devices used by poll workers to verify that a voter is registered before allowing them to cast a ballot. Additional software maintains the databases for GEMS servers that are used to prepare paper and electronic ballots, tabulate votes and produce summaries of vote totals. The software version currently running on the machines was last certified in 2005 and is running on Windows 2000 that hasn’t been supported by Microsoft for at least 10 years. In addition, unlike most states where management of elections is decentralized in individual counties, Georgia’s system is centralized to a center which manages balloting and machines for all the counties.

That center is located in a university, Kennesaw State, in the Center for Election Systems which is responsible for testing and programming all the voting machines for the state of Georgia. The Center is responsible for maintenance of the machines and the associated software as well as providing support for GEMS servers which distribute the electronic ballot definition files that go into each voting machine before elections. These files tell the machines which candidate should receive a vote based on where a voter touches the screen. If these files were altered, the machines could record votes for the wrong candidate. Since Georgia machines have no paper trail which could allow voters to verify their choices before ballots are cast and also be used to compare against electronic tallies during an audit, officials have no way to determine if any machines recorded votes accurately. Computer security experts contend that without an audit trail, there is no way that officials would be able to determine if this has ever happened in any election. The Center has remained a staunch advocate of Premier/Diebold voting machines despite numerous reports by computer security experts over an extended period of time. One report features a 2007 video showing how to introduce a virus into the Diebold voting machine.

One other software system the Center uses is content management software, Drupal. Drupal is a significant problem; the Center is running an ancient version, which has not been updated, despite a well known critical software vulnerability known since 2014. A patch to prevent attackers from easily seizing control of any site had been available for over 2 years, but gone unused by the center despite the widely known existence of automated hacker scripts to attack this Drupal vulnerability.

Much of Georgia’s voter machine security depends on absolute separation from the internet. The system operates on a series of separate servers that, at least in theory, cannot be connected to the internet and therefore can not be hacked. The poll books are stored in another software program, ExpressPoll, which is delivered to workers on CDs, a process that could have easily been compromised when one county official’s car was vandalized and the CDs stolen. The state contends that no data was stolen although they gave no details on the methodology used to determine that because it simply doesn’t exist. Just more concoctions of fake news.

One day soon after the FBI reported hacking voting systems in multiple states, a curious cybersecurity researcher interested in voter system security accidentally downloaded 15GB from the Kennesaw State center’s website using a simple script to explore the site. The files were supposed to be protected by a password protected firewall but the center had misconfigured the server so anyone could access them from the server’s root directory. That 15G included registration records of 6.7 million voters, instructions and passwords for election workers to sign in to a central election server on Election Day and software files for the state’s ExpressPoll poll books, as well as databases for the GEMS servers used to prepare electronic ballots, tabulate votes and produce summaries of vote totals. This was evidence that the wall between the internet and the voting system had been breached at some point, even if they were not continuously and currently linked. The cybersecurity researcher took no data; he simply marvelled at the discovery. He thought to check back on a second intrusion to see whether there had been any security changes after the earlier one in August. There had been no change.

When the researcher approached the Kennesaw Center director before the November elections, he was summarily snubbed. Merle King, the executive director of the Center, thanked him and said he would have the server fixed but threatened him not to reveal the information to anyone, especially the media. King never informed Kemp’s office and took a piecemeal approach to the repair, leaving the unencrypted http version of the Drupal still vulnerable, as a friend of the researcher later discovered in March 2017.  

When news of a system intrusion at the Center surfaced 6 months after the cyber researcher’s discovery, the Kennesaw University IT Services, the secretary of state’s and governor’s offices and later the FBI all launched investigations. The investigation did reveal an intrusion, in which state officials falsely reported that millions of voter records were stolen, perhaps unable to tell that they were merely viewed but not retained. In the course of investigation, it became clear that the Center had been operating its networks outside the scope of the university and secretary of state’s office for years, essentially unaligned with any larger security strategy. In addition, although the Center had separate public and private networks, a public network jack sat in the closet with the private network, opening up the possibility that workers could have connected the private network system to the internet. Workers had also installed their own wireless access point in the office, a potential entry point into the network for hackers. The evidence pointed to a knowledge deficit on the part of the center’s small staff, some of whom are non-technical students at the university. The presence of the GEMS files on an internet connected server is a significant piece of evidence that points to previous connections between the private and public systems. All indications suggest that Georgia’s voting system is extremely vulnerable to hackers of all descriptions and that the integrity of the state’s vote is at the mercy of those with malicious intent, whether domestic or foreign.

When Homeland approached the secretaries of state with the news of Russian meddling, Georgia’s secretary of state Republican Brian Kemp was naturally one of those who reacted badly. Armed with news of a data breach at the Kennesaw State Center in March, he thought he would rack up some political points by accusing the FBI of maliciously attempting to hack Georgia systems, when he was well aware that it was an unrelated researcher.

Kemp insisted that the Premier/Diebold machines when purchased in 2002 met federal standards, adopted under 1990 federal guidelines. Kemp also contended that when the system met 2015 certifications, it still met state law requirements, although new federal guidelines have been issued. That simply means that the state has failed to update its own requirements. Security experts say the certification is too old and that the combination of two different certifications is outside the norm for other states. The machines are regularly tested before and after elections, but here again, a security expert knowledgeable about the machines suggested that state testing is a bit like asking the machine itself if it’s results are accurate without any outside corroboration. “Diebold, have you been a good girl.” Answer:”Diebold is always good.” The expert has been able to corrupt machines in the lab with malware that would be almost undetectable during regular operation.

Kemp seems to have a long standing aversion to security experts. Now, candidate for Georgia governor, he has tried to out Trump Trump. He advertises himself a devout Christian with a deep bias against science and factual evidence, a love of guns and a hatred of immigrants, threatening in one advertisement to use his F150 to patrol and hand deliver immigrants back across the border. Georgia was one of two states to reject the offer from the Department of Homeland Security to assist states with securing their systems.

His was the second investigation in a state that would rather not know than have to solve a problem. The previous secretary of state, Karen Handel who is now the 6th district Congresswoman, ordered a security review of the voting system to fulfill a campaign promise. An investigative team from Georgia Tech found a number of security concerns, even though they were denied access to the Kennesaw Center network or review of its security protocols. Handel who had the authority but did not order the Center to comply with requests from the committee for access, did insist that the report itself state that they did not have enough information to evaluate security safeguards. Even with that, she buried the report.

The obvious conclusion is that the secretary of state and the center are hiding something, and it may be more than just security. For instance, there was the “glitch” in some Cobb county precincts memory cards in the recent 6th district special congressional race. But when the issue was supposedly resolved, Ossoff, the Democrat, fell from 53% of the total vote to 49% and stayed there, setting in motion the runoff with Handel, the Republican. There have been other such reported glitches in county precincts that have altered results in favor of GOP candidates in close races. In the absence of paper ballots, there is no way to know if votes were changed or categorized as “inconclusive” or thrown out.

To summarize, voting machines throughout the state of Georgia are controlled by a small university based center with lax security and no indication that they have any interest in changing that. They are unlikely to try to remedy a problem that they refuse to acknowledge. The voting machines are 15 years old, using multiple outdated software systems running on an outdated operating system without the capability to use the latest security safeguards. The Center has refused to update the systems with known security patches. The absence of any paper ballots makes it impossible to verify election results or investigate reports of voting irregularities. The pretense that these ancient computer systems running on outdated software can be made secure against sophisticated hackers is clearly absurd. Officials have also demonstrated a lack of will to create a secure system and a propensity to resist any independent expert assessment and improvement in security, let alone the ongoing security watchfulness required in these days of advanced hacking. That may reflect the mindset of officials in a state where large swatches lack both internet access and cellphone towers. They haven’t yet come to grips with the centrality of technology in today’s life or the maliciousness of technology as a weapon of harm. The optimal solution is to upgrade the whole system, with voting machines with paper ballots and current generation software and management systems. If Georgia is an ideal model, our election system demonstrates a partisan pigheadedness to remain vulnerable to multiple threats, not just the Russians.

Riverside California, probably a test run to see what kind of election day havoc could be generated, was the first evidence that the Russians were mounting an aggressive campaign to undermine Americans’ faith in their own democratic process. The Obama administration struggled to craft a response while unearthing the full extent of Russian efforts. In the interim, Moscow had stepped up its game, with intrusions in Florida, New Mexico, Tennessee. Before the election, they had meddled in 25 states and had tried to hack all 50. By July of 2017, an NSA report confirmed that Russian hackers had employed an extensive phishing campaign to hack election officials as well as targeting voter registration systems. Bloomberg also reported that hackers had targeted voter registration systems in 39 states and had tried to delete or alter voter data in at least one state. They had also accessed software used by poll workers to verify voters at the polls similar to the type used in Georgia.

After Obama had a harsh word with Putin at an international meeting in China, it seemed Moscow may have simmered their attacks while some states were trying to beef up their security, some even used assistance from Homeland. There were a few cyber incidents, but no large coordinated Kremlin effort, at least none that was detected. The FBI worried that they were only detecting the clumsiest of Russian hackers and the more adroit were going undetected. But in October, Russian hackers attacked the company that provides election software and machines for 8 states, using that to create an email for a phishing campaign against elections officials nationwide.

Here are some examples of voting system vulnerability. If hackers were to delete voter names from the database stored on the center’s server or alter the precinct where voters are assigned, they could create chaos on Election Day and possibly prevent voters from casting ballots. This is not idle conjecture; in 2016, a glitch in the ExpressPoll software led some voters in Fulton County to be told that they had arrived at the wrong precinct but when redirected to a different one, they were told to return to the original precinct. Beyond that, a rogue memory card or unsophisticated poll workers could introduce malware from phishing emails in individual machines which is likely to go undetected under current security operations.

The FBI worried about a nightmare scenario in which Russians would actually be able to affect elections results. Ed Felten, a voting machine expert well acquainted with the susceptibility of touch screens, could foresee a compromised poll worker, possibly through phishing, providing outside access to machines before election day. But in the end, a process targeting individual workers or machines would be an extraordinarily tedious way to impact a final result, without information about which precinct would be critical to the results.

The FBI team did create some possible intrusion scenarios that would not appear obvious but could be disruptive. Simply flipping a letter in every voter’s address would mean that every voter in a swing county would have to use a provisional ballot, creating panic which could then be exploited by a propagandist questioning the election result, or in the current climate, suggesting that one of the parties intentionally tried to manipulate results. Even less complicated, a YouTube video showing the hacking of a single voting machine with dialogue that claims it was only one of 10,000 without actually doing it even once – real fake news- could create panic in every precinct, trigger investigations and undermine any final vote count.

We now know that on Election Day, the Russians made some voting machines nonfunctional in cities in North Carolina, which could have reduced the number of votes casts, whether through longer lines at precincts or discounted votes. The manufacturer of those voting machines had been hacked by the GRU in October.

But direct action in voting systems was only part of the Kremlin’s multi-pronged attack. Far more widespread and effective was the use of social media, a proven potent weapon, not well understood as such in the West. As we now know, their interventions spread across all major platforms, Facebook, Twitter and Instagram. Working from extensive experience with propaganda, Moscow understood the value of trust in persuasion. People tend to trust what confirms their knowledge and beliefs and it is that trust tha permits manipulation. Russian propaganda built outrage from fear turned into hate. Muslim terrorism was a theme hammered by their candidate and validated. In states like Michigan and Wisconsin, anti-Muslims messages in Russian ads targeted those deemed susceptible while pro-Clinton messages were generated on fake American Muslim sites. Part of the Kremlin’s  propaganda efforts went into suppressing the vote. Twitter bots churned out messages to “text-to-vote”, obviously not a vote that would be counted anywhere. Democrats were targeted with misinformation about Clinton to discourage them from voting or to vote for Jill Stein. Some were encouraged to write-in Bernie Sanders on their ballots.

One big question overlays all of these investigations: how did the Russians get so good in so short a time. A few years ago, no one on Capitol Hill took the Russians seriously; they were considered among the most ineffective lobbyists in Washington because they didn’t know who to approach and when. John Podesta was a mystery to them and they had no knowledge of the DNC. Fast forward to 2016, when they would coax voters in Ohio and Indiana into watching stories on Russia Today, a state owned international Russian TV network and strategically target districts in Florida with anti-Clinton propaganda. Ultimately, the steady drip of fake news that discredited Clinton- she has Parkinson’s, she had pneumonia, she was tied to sex trafficking in a pizza shop, etc – exploited perennial suspicions that she was duplicitous and could not be trusted. These efforts probably contributed to depressing voter turnout for Hillary as well. How did Moscow know when and where to release different pieces of information?  

In response to the mounting evidence, we know that Obama called together the Congressional leadership of both houses and the top Democrats and Republicans on Congressional intelligence and Homeland Security committees to mount a bipartisan attack on Russian meddling. He had hoped to use Congressional assistance in enlisting state cooperation with efforts to improve voter system security. In closed meetings, the Democrats reacted with patriotic dismay and wanted to explore responses; but much to his surprise and perhaps reflecting his naïveté about GOP animus and cut-throat approach to the campaign, Mitch McConnell, Senate Majority Leader had the complete opposite reaction. He rebelled against the whole idea, lifting the “no cooperation ever” torch that had dominated Republicans in Congress for the past 8 years. McConnell, in the height of self interest threatened to broadly politicize the accusation as an attempt to undermine the Trump campaign. He wanted to use “Russians are helping Trump” as chum in the water to attract the sharks at Trump rallies to bloody the race through the conservative right Breitbart-radio-blogs-Facebook-Twitter fake news sphere. Others, like Lindsey Graham and John McCain, a true patriot, did join Chuck Schumer and Jack Reed. The resistance at the state level to federal investigation and assistance with improving system security, the hyper-partisan reaction of Republicans threatening to politicize the election convinced Obama, perhaps mistakenly, to back away from announcements to the public.

By late September, the administration had all but ruled out any pre-election retaliation against Moscow, fearful of a Kremlin escalation in response that would strike at the electoral system itself and assuming they would have time after a Clinton victory. Their only rebuffs to Moscow were personal; Brennan with Bortnik and Obama with Putin at an international meeting in China. He informed Putin that he knew what Putin was doing and that he’s better stop or else. Putin shot back that the US must come up with some proof and stop meddling in affairs in his country. In October Susan Rice spoke with Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak and gave him a message to carry to Putin. At the end of October, another message was sent over a secure channel to Moscow stating the US was aware of malicious activity originating from Russian servers that had targeted US election systems. The US regarded this type of tampering as totally unacceptable. While Moscow acknowledged the message, it did not return its denial until after the election.

With their hands tied, administration officials decided there was nothing they could do to prevent the cyber activity and settled on a plan to react to cyber incidents on election day. They were convinced that this would be the main thrust of any retaliation from Moscow and the final piece in their strategy. The election day response plan would first defer to the states, but would include armed federal law enforcement agents at polling places if voting was completely blocked and mobilizing military and national guard forces as requested in the presence of violence. For up to 3 days after the voting, an interagency force would address any further internet intrusions including “planted stories calling into question the results.” Proof of Russian success in planting propaganda stories are Gallup poll results that only 30% of adults were confident in the honesty of our elections and 69% were not.

The closest the administration came to accusing Russia of aiding the election of Donald Trump was that one single statement made 1 month before election day on October 7, 2016 by Clapper and Jeh Johnson, head of Homeland Security. Obama, wanting to appear neutral, was not a party to the statement. That statement announced that all of the country’s 17 intelligence agencies were confident that the Kremlin directed intrusions into “US political organizations” and information posted by WikiLeaks, DCLeaks.com and “Guccifer 2.0” were most likely connected to Moscow’s work. Putin was not named. There was no mention that the efforts were intended to help Trump or hurt Clinton. The statement was then promptly ignored as the press swarmed over the more sensational story of Trump’s pussy grabbing confessions on an “Access Hollywood” tape. Then 30 minutes later, WikiLeaks dropped the first installment of the John Podesta emails, a double diversion likely coordinated with the Trump campaign.

When Hillary alluded to the intelligence announcement in the third presidential debate, Trump responded that nobody had any idea who was responsible for the hacks, not wanting to give credence to the intelligence agencies. He had already begun discrediting the CIA after its report was leaked, “These are the same people that said Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction”. To be fair, the CIA had not assessed that there were weapons of mass destruction in Iraq; it was the Bush administration that used what they knew to make a false claim of WMDs to justify its war in Iraq, aided by people like John Bolton, who to this day believes that that lie was justifiable.

emailThe DNC hacking and Wikileaks email release provided political fodder for the CelebrityCandidate to exploit across the media, including his appeal to Russia to hack Clinton’s email server in part to distract from pussy grabbing. In classic Trump form, he accused the Democrats of what he was promoting as the implications of the reports of Russian hacking: the elections were rigged. At that point, the core of Trumpophants were willing to believe whatever he said, no matter how contradictory or implausible.

But overhanging the political antics on the part of Republicans in concert with their candidate was the party’s absolute refusal to join with Democrats to condemn Russia’s interference. The party followed Trump through his appeal to a foreign power to step up their cyber offensive and held on with the partisan refusal to even acknowledge Moscow’s efforts publicly. Moscow seemed to be winning the propaganda war; a minority of Republicans viewed Russia as dangerous or as a sworn enemy. By the end of the campaign, Trump was threatening that he would not concede the election if he lost.

In December during the last 6 weeks of the his administration, Obama announced that he had ordered the intelligence services to begin a full investigation into election related hacking. A story leaked to the Washington Post about a secret CIA report that concluded that Russia “intervened in the 2016 election to help Donald Trump win the presidency.”

Much of the analysis of Russian election interference did not fall into its rightful context until after the Clinton defeat, when Obama realized that he had very little time to penalize Russia. From their effort to compile a comprehensive report of Russian espionage going back to 2008 ordered by Obama, the intelligence agencies had come up with a broader picture of Russia’s coordinated attack. The weaponization of fake news, use of social media bots, lies and misinformation for political propaganda and leaks of hacked information were seen as the same elements that Moscow had pursued in other countries.

These revelations led to the sanctions on specific Russian FSB officials, intelligence officials and 3 companies linked to those services in addition to closure of two Russian compounds and expulsion of Russian operatives with diplomatic cover stories announced as part of sanctions against Russia for actions in Ukraine. There was little public acknowledgement that punishment for election meddling was part of the objective. It left the impression that attacks on allies is more significant than an aggressive, and parenthetically successful assault on US elections, always considered sacrosanct. That was a political error. The Obama administration failed to make the case for the Russian threat to US national security, a larger threat than Russian activity in Ukraine.

The announcement of the sanctions set in motion the circus that resulted in the revelations of contacts between the Trump campaign,  transition team and administrative staff that hopefully will become more explicit when the Mueller investigation is concluded and the report issued. Michael Flynn contacted the Russian ambassador to advise him not to react to the sanctions because their boy would be showing his appreciation for Moscow’s help with his victory as soon as he took office.

It was the beginning of the shadow presidency where for the first time, the US had the president-elect running his own game while the current president was still in office. Even as it happened, there was little public outcry. It was a moniker of what was to come from the Trump administration: a wanton disregard for the office of the presidency and the law of the land. He would dare the country to object and without pushback, he has simply asked for more. Much like Putin who felt no reprimands and proceeded forthwith to bring his comrade in arms to office. The Intelligence report was released to the public on January 6, 2017 and then promptly dismissed by the new administration.

What could Obama have done differently? In summary, the administration was slow to recognize Russian interference in the election as something different form espionage in the past. It was unable to place Russian activity in the context of an emerging war on the West in which Putin’s goal is to destabilize it. If Russia is unable to compete with the EU and US, his approach is to confuse and unsettle those countries beginning about a collapse from within. The Kremlin has been at the least moderately successful in these efforts, as it has exploited Muslim immigration, driven in part by its expanded bombing of civilians in Syria, to unsettle citizens throughout Europe and the US. Through financial support of far right parties in Europe, like Marie Le Pan in France, Norbert Hofer and Heinz-Christian Strache in Austria, Italy’s Berlusconi,  and the AfD Party and Neo-Nazi parties in Germany as well Nigel Farage and the Brexit campaign in the UK, Moscow inserted pro-Russian conservative parties into European governments. In others, notably Macron in France, it failed. But, it has also waged successful internet and social media based wars in these countries, helping to sway each country’s populace on a more conservative nationalist agenda.

The Obama administration underestimated the efficiency of Moscow’s newest “active measures”, not believing that Putin would have the temerity to try it in this country. Even as officials became aware of the different elements, they were unable to formulate a response to Russia or in the US. Obama, always careful and deliberative, responded first with a charge to gather more evidence. But in the process of evidence gathering, action was delayed. Beyond unofficially letting the Russians know that he knew something was afoot, the question of informing his own citizens loomed large.

Navigating two issues was particularly difficult; campaign 2016 and the potential for Russian escalation in a contest they were clearly winning, given the absence of cyber defense mechanisms in place across broad swaths of the country. The gang of Moscow hackers could simply feast on wherever they landed.

As campaign 2016 unfolded, Obama showed extreme reluctance to be seen as unfairly tilting the scale for Hillary. Still, presidents have traditionally used the power of the office to assist their successor’s campaigns. In this instance, it would have seemed particularly apt, when the Democratic candidate was being ripped apart by imagined scandals and a relentless commercial press more focussed on hype than substantive campaign issues. There may have been some campaign strategizing that hasn’t been revealed, not even in Hillary’s book, What Happened, that led Obama to steer clear, particularly since Clinton was not part of the security circle most knowledgeable about Moscow’s activity.

Barack was afraid of being attacked for using intelligence agencies to undermine Trump’s campaign (and oh how right he was about that.) Not only the President, but the agencies themselves have under fire, an important theme in the MAGA candidate’s evocation of an untrustworthy government that was working against the interest of its citizens.

In his attempts to inform Congressional leaders, granted late in the game, he saw only hyper-partisan political pushback, a continuation of eight long years of roasting him personally and sabotaging his political agenda. A fear of a political firestorm cannot be ruled out as the reason for the vacillation. Obama had suffered painful attacks on his person and that of the First Lady as well as vicious assaults from the conservative right and the Republican Party. Both had shown a level of uncivil conduct that pales in comparison to what the norm has become in 45’s wake, but was even then excessive in ways that only a Black man would be asked to endure without a general outcry. Perhaps he was just tired.

Obama conjectured that an aggressive countermove against Russia could have been met with an outright cyberwar that could have included attacks on the power grid, exacerbating raging anti federal government sentiment, now interpreted as partisan maneuvering for Clinton. The vulnerability of the power grid was certain to trigger fears akin to 9/11, except this time, resulting in an attack from one side of the political spectrum on the other, rather than “we’re all in it together”. Imagine the conspiracy theorists working overtime to assert that the federal government disrupted the power grid to legitimize attempts to seize the electoral process from the states. The spectre of manipulation of election machines as seen in combination in the Ukraine, loomed large as well. The resulting chaos could threaten to bring down electoral results, with conservatives and Republicans leading the charge to overturn the peaceful succession of presidents, never imagined to be questionable. Even the hanging chads of the 2000 election of Bush 42 was resolved by the gracious concession of Al Gore. Donald Trump has never been reputed to be gracious or to concede.      

We can’t discount the administration’s reading of campaign polls that predicted a Clinton victory. They provided the illusion of a leisurely response time under a new Democratic administration. Very few pollsters had any inkling that their sampling would misfire big time. Still the margins were so close in key areas that it was probably beyond the precision of most polling.

So the administration bidded its time, focusing on an emergency plan to respond to secure election processes should Moscow target them, even though it had done nothing to provoke an escalation from the Kremlin.

There is still the matter of timing. If the administration had done what it did in December 2016 in July, what could have happened differently. The country was facing a national security threat unlike any other in the past. If James Comey could comment on Clinton email investigations, why was there no comment on Trump associated investigations with the data mounting. Simply, a few leaked stories to the press to satisfy their need for the titillating could have prompted a broader response. Since Loretta Lynch had recused herself, why didn’t someone put a muzzle on Comey in no uncertain terms, for violating the FBI code of ethics. It is possible that no one knew in advance of Comey’s grandstanding announcement so could not have prevented it. But once the threshold had been breached, serious consideration should have been given to a plan to comment that a Trump associated investigation was underway.

It would have been grand if, in July, the country had adopted the patriotic tack of defending the country against an increasingly aggressive and hostile enemy, Vladimir Putin’s Russia. The negativity forces around Trump would have been quashed in reaction to their divisiveness and the nation rallied around the flag. Congressional investigations would have been triggered, Republicans united with Democrats. Sanctions, for all the good they seem to do, even more punishing could have been put in place before December, hopefully with bipartisan backing from Congress. Remember that in July, Trump’s campaign was wobbling and looking like it would lose big. As Trump would have been characterized as an opponent of national security, perhaps some of the Trump leaning voters would have been deprogrammed and shaken out of their reverie. The idea that Russia was not an enemy and could be an ally would have cratered from the 50% of Republicans during the campaign to near none. And conservatives would have cut their RT feeds and stopped posting them on their social media pages.

text-your-voteOf course that would not have deterred the more than one million suspicious Twitter accounts per day, the over 20% of American conversations about politics attributed to Russian bots from its Internet Research Agency, or the one million sites on Facebook that generated tens of millions of “likes” for trending messages into newsfeeds or the 470 Facebook accounts of American purported political organizations that were actually Russian fronts or the 129 events pages staged by the Kremlin’s agents. There were 5.8 million fake Facebook accounts shut down before the election. But then, even as more than 40% of Americans were getting their daily news from their Facebook feeds,  maybe Americans would have stopped being sucked in, knowing that was what Moscow was trying to do.

Although it’s hard to imagine it, even the conservative shock jockey media sphere could have rallied around the flag to stand for national defense, generating a counternarrative to Russian propaganda rather than augmenting it. They would be saluting the flag and singing the national anthem at the drop of a hat. Ok, that’s a stretch, by crises do tend to unite people within nations.  

Most importantly, the commercial media which weaponized the hacked emails, hammered the Clinton email scandal and subsequent FBI probe as handmaids to the Trump campaign would have awakened to a different drummer, namely national security. The media had found its supposed “objectivity” in pursuing Trump’s marketability to boost ratings and readership. They downplayed Clinton’s efforts to highlight hacking as the culprit, not the content of the documents obtained illegally. Instead the hacking would have been the lynchpin in a story about Russian intrigue to compromise our elections with all its implications for foreign policy and European alliances.

Hopefully, it would have spurred the kind of investigative reporting that has occurred since the RealityTV President took office, perhaps avoiding that event altogether. Trump imprinted with the stain of corruption he hurled at Hillary would have made the choice between the least corrupt, rather than someone called politically corrupt versus  a man corrupted by association with a foreign enemy. The campaign would have provided fertile background for breaking stories on Trump campaign contacts with Russian agents, knowing Moscow was pursuing a host of “active measures” during the campaign. Perhaps they would have stumbled onto the role of bots and fake accounts on Facebook and Twitter. And Russian attempts to hack voting rolls across 20 states would hopefully have stoked outrage in Congress and the public, driving some of those who opted to stay home into the voting booth.

And ideally, a mobilization of our international allies against Russia would have ensued. This would also have signalled European countries in advance of their elections to prepare for the kinds of dirty tricks that Moscow first auditioned in the Ukraine, now made even more sophisticated. Russia would have become more the global pariah that it deserves to be.

And of course, the best result would have been for Hillary Rodham Clinton to be the 45th President of the United States.

That scenario unfortunately is overly optimistic; some components are downright  fantastical. The GOP still had to worry about the down ballot candidates and national defense against Russian interference did not play well among its racist anti-immigrant themes. Congressional leadership didn’t have a higher calling; its highest calling was first and foremost, remain in office and prevent loss of their majority in both houses. The welfare of the country was somewhere far down the list of priorities, if at all. The billionaire funders were desperate to get back into power and patriotism didn’t seem helpful after they had invested so much time and money into sowing the seeds of division. And the conservative media bubble could hardly turn away from its extraordinarily lucrative pursuits that had bought with it fame.

In the nightmare scenario. McConnell could have acted on his threat to politicize the intelligence reports, impugning the intelligence agencies as partisan and political, previewing the torrent of slander directed at the FBI by 45, albeit in service of a different cause, that of derailing the Mueller investigation and building public support for that. Parenthetically, he is winning that war, with support for continuing the investigation down to 54% in recent polls. Certainly, Moscow would have joined those efforts in the social media realm and through RT, Russian state TV which was surprisingly popular among conservatives during the campaign. After all, less than 50% of Republicans view Russia as a hostile threat to the US even now with the meddling disclosures, granted many have not gotten that information or have chosen to simply ignore it. Russia would have emphatically denied its involvement, as it has since, but official denials are far less important than denials in the internet playground, where they have in other countries, like the Ukraine, proved extraordinarily effective.

In the end, Obama must bear the responsibility for not treating Russian “active measures” as a national security threat, no matter what political environment existed. It is in fact our most imminent peril, above that of a potential nuclear weapon from North Korea. A genuine threat was trivialized by the administration, no less than by the GOP by dropping it into partisan politics.

With his puppet comfortably implanted in the White House, Putin has no real need to expend more effort. Now, it is more difficult for Americans to inoculate ourselves against misinformation because the government itself lies so much, multiple times a day and in ways that are patently obvious, unlike in the past where it could be interpreted as “spin”.  We are extremely vulnerable to the information warfare that is being generated, now, within the US, creating our own individual news outlets replicating our own fake news. Americans are hungry for information that confirms their beliefs, not challenges them. Tidbits that disagree can be easily dismissed. As support for Trump becomes more deeply embedded, the necessity to rationalize past behavior becomes ever more important.  Trump and conservatives have weaponed information (perhaps he learned this trick from his Russian mentor and has his own playbook for “active measures”). Conversely, progressives haven’t figured out a counter propaganda strategy. Russia doesn’t need to make fake news anymore; Americans are doing that just fine for themselves. Moscow may want to assist with spreading American made fake news around, but they don’t have to. We have become our own worst enemy.

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Blah…Blah…..Blah

45 pulled off another rally in some city a couple of days ago for a candidate he gave little attention or time. The Donald is a star that burns so brightly, the best others can hope for is not to get scorched. For him, the location is irrelevant, although some local event or place may play briefly in the narrative.

There was nothing new. The RealityTVPresident has nothing new to say. He works from a standard score, expanding on one or another theme as his audience reacts. He becomes more or less animated as the crowd reacts.

There is the glorification of his person throughout. He’ll brag about his accomplishments which range through election night, the inauguration crowd, the tax bill, the economy, the tariffs, the empty and meaningless North Korean summit agreement and numerous often fictitious or overblown responses to twitter bullying, like businesses who created new jobs, or investments. As he is want to do, the Egomaniac in Chief claims create for events completely outside his purview. The Supreme Court is prominent in his new narratives. Let’s see, Mitch McConnell stole the seat for Neil Gorsuch and the Federalist Society provided the list of nominees; 45 didn’t even interview the potential nominees. This time, Justice Kennedy deserves the credit for handing his seat over to conservatives, as a member of their club. The most momentous change in the court in recent history which will change the course of civil rights for the next 4 decades has nothing to do with the CelebrityPresident; yes he will announce the name, but the course has been set by others. Trumpophants will continue their idolatry as they pant for an end to legal abortion in the US.

There’s always a reference to Hillary Clinton, now 19 months after the campaign ended and she is a private citizen. It helps him relive, deep within his groin, the magnificence of his election victory. He needs to keep rummaging around in his past to expand his person by absorbing the cheers of the adoring.

He’ll launch a few insults against the enemy of the state, the press and assorted Democrats, Maxine Waters, Elizabeth Warren, Chuck Schumer and the infamous Nancy Pelosi. He may have a Republican or two in his crosshairs. The media will provide a history and timetable of previous insults for each individual, They’ll interview others to get their reaction, as if any of it is important. Ho hum; the names and ad libs change but the scripts are essentially the same.

And it goes without saying that the narrative will be littered with 45’s signature artistry: false facts, half-truths and fictitious unsubstantiated statistics. Seldom are these new either; they are generally recycled from tweets. Trump has very little fresh in his kitty. In his weaponization of misinformation, he understands the principle that endless repetition makes fiction real. The fiction becomes what “the good guys” have to contest. Intermittent fact checking, now used sparingly as the standard of a commercial media reluctant to call out the lie or alienate some readers or viewers, is no match for the relentlessly steady repetitive drip.

Let’s not forget that he will make unintentional errors, revealing his ignorance on general topics or history. None of us, not even his ardent supporters, think he is knowledgeable; no nonreader can be. Trumpophants don’t think a president need be knowledgeable. The press gets down in the weeds of these gaffs, exploring their nuances and larger meanings. Truthfully, it’s just a dumb guy too arrogant to know how stupid he is.

Is he more free-wheeling in some rallies than others? Does he reveal something more of his character? News flash. There is nothing new in his character. He is nothing but consistent and has been so since he burst on the New York scene. There are many things that he’s done that we don’t yet know, but he’s not very complicated. He laid all his cards on the table a long time ago.

The rallies are 45’s propaganda tools to capture commercial media attention. When times get tough, like the blow back from the treatment of Central American immigrants and the expanded assault on all immigrants in the country, he easily shifts to his entertainment personna and the commercial media becomes mesmerized. The RealityTVPresident is so amusing. His appearances satisfy that American fascination for the gaffs and goofiness of reality TV characters and internet videos. There’s the building tension waiting for a sentinel funny moment; Tymphopants ignore them and the unenchanted chuckle or moan.

I have suggested in the past that the press spend less time chasing Trump. They haven’t yet come to grips with their self-serving role during the campaign as unquestioning Trump boosters relying on his notoriety in boosting their advertising revenue. Similarly, they followed his trail of Clinton scandal mongering under the guise of press objectivity, another misnomer for the failure to question Trump’s veracity. They still haven’t found their legs. Fact check? Slip in a corrective for misstatements. They still can’t find their way to challenging too deeply the veracity of administration spokesmen, fearful of a loss of access without realizing their absolute necessity to the Trump propaganda machine, not simply as punching bags but as an integral part of spreading 45’s message.

At least one journalist, Ezra Klein of Vox.com recently agreed with me in comments on the PBS News Hour. He implored news editors to stop letting Trump “be our  assignment editor”. He has seen through the deflections, like in this instance the resignation of the scandalous EPA Chief Scott Pruitt who has been feeding at the taxpayer’s trough since before his arrival in office while harboring aspirations to become either the next Attorney General or Secretary of State and the appointment of a #metoo cover up colluder, Bill Shine from Fox News to post of Director of White House Communications. The former was no surprise; 45 had to cut him loose as the burden of scandals began to overwhelm him, despite his due diligence in carrying forward the oligarchs’ agenda to eliminate regulation interfering with pillaging the earth as usual. The latter wasn’t unexpected either, the old boy network of misogynists has always protected its own.

Klein accurately described the cycle: the BullyPresident hurls a few insults, the press reacts and he plays up the negative coverage as anti-populace revolution. The base loves it. He recalled a time when even substantive presidential addresses made on the road with thoughtful oratory received scant coverage in the TV. Such a contrast to multiple TV clips of random quips whenever the RealityTVPresident opens his mouth, the very essence of Reality (edited) TV. Judy Woodruff, the host, quickly dismissed it with a quip, but Klein may have convinced David Brooks of the New York Times who replied, “we don’t want the guy to control our brain.” Amen! Hopefully he will move forward to persuade people that matter to shift from entertaining news to the hard news of old.

Listen up news editors. The press needs to examine what its doing and how to go forward. Trump is here to stay, at least for a while, continuing to suck all the air out of the news cycle. But the power to change that is in the media’s hands. Drop the relentless daily tweet coverage. Let the self indulgent rants of an aging dotard slip to a short piece buried at the end; A mention of the campaign rally location, the date and the candidate will suffice. Further coverage of races deemed significant can focus on the candidate and his opponent. There are other stories, important stories out there that are not being published or become minor footnotes in the barrage of coverage surrounding Trump. Many stories are written with an emphasis on Trump sphere relatedness as if he is the Sun God around which all things orbit. The exception of course is the Mueller investigation and investigative reporting designed to penetrate the cloud of secrecy surrounding the administration and Trump and his cronies. On a whole, the media outside conservative circles deserves accolades for that. We welcome any attempt to bring the light of public scrutiny to our government.   

Blah…Blah…..Blah

Cartoonist Gary Varvel: Pied piper Donald Trump

Donald Trump hasn’t spent very much money in his presidential campaign but he has dominated the media coverage.

45 pulled off another rally in some city a couple of days ago for a candidate he gave little attention or time. The Donald is a star that burns so brightly, the best others can hope for is not to get scorched. For him, the location is irrelevant, although some local event or place may play briefly in the narrative.

There was nothing new. The RealityTVPresident has nothing new to say. He works from a standard score, expanding on one or another theme as his audience reacts. He becomes more or less animated as the crowd reacts.

There is the glorification of his person throughout. He’ll brag about his accomplishments which range across election totals, the inauguration crowd, the tax bill, the economy, the tariffs, the empty and meaningless North Korean summit agreement and numerous often fictitious or overblown responses to twitter bullying, like businesses who created new jobs, or investments. As he is want to do, the Egomaniac in Chief claims credit for events completely outside his purview. The Supreme Court is prominent in his new narratives. Let’s see, Mitch McConnell stole the seat for Neil Gorsuch and the Federalist Society provided the list of nominees; 45 didn’t even interview the potential nominees. This time, Justice Kennedy deserves the credit for handing his seat over to conservatives, as a member of their club. The creation of a conservative majority along strict political lines, the most momentous change in the court in recent history which will transform the course of civil rights for the next 4 decades has nothing to do with the CelebrityPresident; yes he will announce the name,  but, again the course has been set by others. Trumpophants will continue their idolatry as they pant for an end to legal abortion in the US.

There’s always a reference to Hillary Clinton, now 19 months after the campaign ended and she is a private citizen. It helps him relive, deep within his groin, the magnificence of his election victory. He needs to keep rummaging around in his past to expand his person through absorbing the cheers of the adoring.

He’ll launch a few insults against his named enemy of the state, the press and also against assorted Democrats, Maxine Waters, Elizabeth Warren, Chuck Schumer and the infamous Nancy Pelosi. He may have a Republican or two in his crosshairs. The media will provide a history and timetable of previous insults for each individual. They’ll interview others to get their reaction, as if any of it is important. Ho hum; the names and ad libs change but the scripts are essentially the same.

And it goes without saying that the narrative will be littered with 45’s signature artistry: false facts, half-truths and fictitious unsubstantiated statistics. Seldom are these new either; they are generally recycled from tweets. Trump has very fresh in his kitty. In his weaponization of misinformation, he understands the principle that endless repetition makes fiction real. The fiction becomes what normal people have to contest. Intermittent fact checking, now used sparingly as the standard of a commercial media reluctant to call out the lie or alienate some readers or viewers, is no match for the relentlessly steady repetitive drip.

Let’s not forget that he will make unintentional errors, revealing his ignorance on general topics or history. None of us, not even his ardent supporters, think he is knowledgeable; no nonreader can be. Trumpophants don’t think a president need be knowledgeable. The press gets down in the weeds on these gaffs, exploring their nuances and larger meanings. Truthfully, it’s just a dumb guy too arrogant to know how stupid he is.

Is he more free-wheeling in some rallies than others? Does he reveal something more of his character? News flash. There is nothing new in his character. He is nothing but consistent and has been so since he burst on the New York scene. There are many things that he’s done that we don’t yet know, but he’s not very complicated. He laid all his cards on the table a long time ago.

The rallies are 45’s propaganda tools to capture commercial media attention. When times get tough, like the blow back from the treatment of Central American immigrants and the expanded assault on all immigrants in the country, he easily shifts to his entertainment personna and the commercial media becomes mesmerized. The RealityTVPresident is so amusing. His appearances satisfy that American fascination for the gaffs and goofiness of reality TV characters and internet videos. The tension builds as viewers wait for a sentinel funny moment; Tymphopants ignore them and the unenchanted chuckle or moan.

I have suggested in the past that the press spend less time chasing Trump. They haven’t yet come to grips with their self-serving role during the campaign as unquestioning Trump boosters relying on his notoriety in boosting their advertising revenue. Similarly, they followed his trail of Clinton scandal mongering under the guise of press objectivity, another misnomer for the failure to question Trump’s veracity. They still haven’t found their legs. Fact check? Slip in a corrective for misstatements? They still can’t find their way to challenging too deeply the veracity of administration spokesmen, fearful of a loss of access without realizing their absolute necessity to the Trump propaganda machine, not simply as punching bags but as an integral part of spreading 45’s message.

At least one journalist, Ezra Klein of Vox.com recently agreed with me in comments on the PBS News Hour. He implored news editors to stop letting Trump “be our  assignment editor”. He has seen through the deflections, like in this instance the resignation of the scandalous EPA Chief Scott Pruitt who has been feeding at the taxpayer’s trough since before his arrival in office while harboring aspirations to become either the next Attorney General or Secretary of State. In addition, the appointment of a #metoo cover up colluder, Bill Shine from Fox News to the post of Director of White House Communications. The former was no surprise; 45 had to cut him loose as the burden of scandals began to overwhelm him, despite his due diligence in carrying forward the oligarchs’ agenda to eliminate regulation interfering with pillaging the earth as usual. The latter wasn’t unexpected either, the old boy network of misogynists has always protected its own.

Klein accurately described the cycle: the BullyPresident hurls a few insults, the press reacts and he plays up the negative coverage as anti-populace revolution. The base loves it. He recalled a time when even substantive presidential addresses made on the road with thoughtful oratory received scant coverage on the TV. Such a contrast to multiple TV clips of random quips whenever the RealityTVPresident opens his mouth, the very essence of TV edited Reality-style.  Judy Woodruff, News Hour host, quickly dismissed it with a quip, but Klein may have convinced David Brooks of the New York Times who replied, “we don’t want the guy to control our brain.” Amen! Hopefully he will move forward to persuade people that matter to shift from entertaining news to the hard news of old.

Listen up news editors. The press needs to examine what its doing and how to go forward. Trump is here to stay, at least for a while, continuing to suck all the air out of the news cycle. But the power to change that is in the media’s hands. Drop the relentless daily Tweet coverage. Let the self indulgent rants of an aging dotard slip to a short piece buried near the end. A mention of the campaign rally location, the date and the candidate will suffice. Further coverage of races deemed significant can focus on the candidate and his opponent. There are other stories, important stories out there that are not being published or become minor footnotes in the barrage of coverage surrounding Trump. Many stories are written with an emphasis on Trump sphere relatedness as if he is the Sun God around which all things orbit. The exception of course is the Mueller investigation and investigative reporting designed to penetrate the cloud of secrecy surrounding the administration and Trump and his cronies. On a whole, the media outside conservative circles deserves accolades for that. We welcome any attempt to bring the light of public scrutiny to our government.  

Hail the Declaration of Independence

abstract bay boats bright

Photo by Pixabay on Pexels.com

As the skies over the United States explode in an array of bursting booms and colors, Americans will celebrate the Declaration of Independence. It stands as the basis of American exceptionalism. “We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.”

That declaration gave way to the realities of governance in the Constitution. They meant all the people they qualify to be men. The Injuns aren’t real men, so they don’t count. In Article 1, Section 2, representation [in the House] and taxation “shall be determined adding to the whole Number of free Persons, including those bound to Service for a Term of Years, and excluding Indians not taxed, three fifths of all other Persons.” The Founding Fathers deftly excluded any mention of the enslaved by reducing them to three fifths of all other Persons. This was the only way to emerge from the Revolution as a colony of 13 states. At least the Injuns were wholly something, if not men. Of course, no one could mistake the fairer sex for men. Since these others weren’t equal, they didn’t deserve any of the other rights either. In the end the Founders meant only white men had entitlement to equality, Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.

Over the next 24 decades, the others fought to be included in the American family. Foreigners right off the boat were included, but not those who had been here for generations. The enslaved believed they had struck gold in 1865, when Fourth of July celebrations became jubilation for the 4 million enslaved now free. They believed that they had become equal, at last to control their Life, Liberty and pursuit of Happiness. “[On] a 4th of July in this country…[when] all of our race would be able to dwell under the bright and genial rays of universal liberty, enjoying the right of suffrage and the rights and immunities accorded to others.” said a sergeant in the 27th U.S. Colored Troops during the celebration in North Carolina. That year, the vanquished traitors of the Confederacy stayed home, with little to celebrate. In the South, Fourth of July was a Black man’s holiday to celebrate, until reality set in.

Treasonist Confederates became fallen angels, to be forgiven in the rush to heal the nation and most importantly get their cotton production and agricultural economy back booming to support and supply the emerging Industrial Revolution in the North and finance the expansion of the nation all the way to the Pacific shore. As the South exacted a price, the darkies became roadkill. “Let us resurrect enslavement, the very thing we were denied by defeat in the war, under a new name.” They fought and died for the extension of slavery and they bargained their way into it, all across the land. They would call it sharecropping, prison labor and Jim Crow. In Oregon, they hung out  “No N**gers Allowed” signs, excluding coloreds from entry into or residing in the state. In Illinois and Missouri, it was encoded in segregation laws. In Chicago and New York, it was residential covenants designating were African Americans could live. All enforced with violence or the threat of it, arbitrarily sprung in lynchings and beatings and shootings and white mob attacks on Black citizens in Rosewood, Kansas City, New Orleans and Atlanta to name a few. That was the price the reunited United States government was willing to pay. Why not, it cost them nothing that they could see, not realizing the lost opportunity for generations of genius and achievement that could have made the country greater. “The darkies are a long suffering people” they thought; “they can be useful to do the stuff we don’t want to do without complaining because we know how to handle them.”

Africans Americans are long suffering alright but we are also the most hopeful race possibly on the planet. We kept grinding away, living our lives no matter how difficult; teaching our children, encouraging them to make the best of their talents and their circumstance. One hundred years later, we were out in the streets taking the blows that white policemen were willing to dish out, in a coordinated strategy to win a piece of the Declaration promise, a little bit at a time. We were making progress toward the Promise Land in Martin Luther King Jr’s eye, even got as far as a Black President. But we couldn’t quite get through the gates.

Women have fared better. It took not quite a hundred years for us to get the ballot, but progress toward equality and the inalienable rights of Life, Liberty, and pursuit of Happiness has been halting. The threat of violence continues to loom over our lives, #metoo, long buried in the norms of this society. We have only begun to unearth the extent and explore the remedies. The freedom to make choices about who we want to be and how we conduct our lives has eluded us, even as those things should not have to been won. We have yet to achieve our proper place in the workforce and our rightful compensation. Society refuses to take us seriously as equally capable and definitely smarter than men.

Native Americans never had any chance at inclusion and still don’t. Their main advance is that people have stopped shooting them, even though they’re still being killed off, just not by bullets. Perhaps there are just too few of them left, shoved away in hidden pockets, to reclaim their rights in a land where they once determined them.

It seems the descendants of the Founding Fathers forgot that illusory promise, maybe because it was never meant at all and the Constitution portrays their true intent. After all, the Fathers didn’t live by their words, they just wrote them down and stowed them away in a glass display case. Stowed away, they couldn’t teach their sons and daughters to honor them because they hadn’t shown them the way.

Or perhaps the burden was too great. The demands of citizenship are onerous, especially as we’ve entered the technological age where an electronic device can tell us what to think. With eyes and minds consumed by endless visual displays, there is hardly time for contemplation or analytical thinking, skills long drained out of the population by education based on multiple choice testing. There are many who seemed to have opted for blind obedience to a fool who tells them what to think and when.

Those excluded in the founding documents are now watching as their halting progress is being upended, at a disturbingly rapid pace. Some of us are probably guilty of taking those steps forward for granted; of not being engaged enough to stand guard. All but the most cautious didn’t realize they needed to. Some of us have been enveloped with the desire to hold on to our stuff, thinking that means we have to keep others from getting it too. Many people of color have just given up hope. They all don’t understand that civic engagement is ongoing, even when the choice may seem like tweedle-dum and tweedle-dee. Unfortunately, some are non-believers, preferring to cast themselves and their “kind” as better than the rest. Some have been lulled by the “follow me anywhere” mantra, blinded to the cliff that is just up ahead, like the buffalo driven in great Native American hunts off Head-Smashed-In Rock .

As the fireworks blaze across the skies tonight, after the Chief Executive has blasphemed the flag he has used to disguise his retreat into never once in his life serving it, preferring to serve only himself, let those rockets kick start us all to renewed vigor to achieve the words of the Declaration of Independence. Even as lofty ideals are often sullied by reality, the words are real, even if they were not meant to be. There is much more to lose ahead, but we shouldn’t let them just take it. At least we have to put up a struggle before they push us of the cliff.