Way Low Down

white house

Photo by Aaron Kittredge on Pexels.com

Just when we thought Agent Orange couldn’t sink any lower, he’s plummeted to new depths. While the White House flag was lowered to half staff over the weekend, Trump ordered it raised on his return from whichever private club he was publicizing last weekend. John McCain was a hero, whether one agrees with him or not. He served the country, first in war and then for decades as a Senator. One may not have agreed with his views, but he held them in earnest. He was one of few politicians who acknowledged their mistakes.

45 seems to love the Stars and Stripes as a weapon for his own petty vengeance. He has never once defended it, unlike John McCain who laid his life on the line and suffered in a prisoner of war camp for 5 long years, surviving with physical damage that lasted him a lifetime. The BullyPresident has nuzzled a flagpole, but its symbolism seems to have eluded him. Instead, he favors its use as a spear to be chucked at Black football players or war heros who just happen to be among his critics. That’s a stunning image: Donald Trump as spear chucker with a loin cloth draped over his balls now shrivelled back up into his pelvis!

One might suspect Trump is just plain jealous of the man and the accolades that have come pouring in. He has refused to speak McCain’s name, first in the ceremony for a military bill that bore his name. He refused to make a statement that was already written after McCain died, preferring instead to tweet condolences to the family. He refused to answer questions from the press. Sure, he’s probably miffed that McCain disinvited him from his funeral, while asking Barack to speak-ooh, that’s gotta sting. But then again, the CelebrityPresident hasn’t attended any funerals, always deferring to Mike Pence. He’s probably a little skittish about the thought of coffins in his not too distant future.

Still, he is our president who is supposed to be bigger than that. He never fails to disappoint in ways that one could never imagine. He represents the nation or the office is supposed to. It’s safe to say that he hasn’t before and clearly he can’t. Trump can’t stand for anything larger than himself. Alas, he is but a dwarf, meant in the politically incorrect way.

This just in: a swarm of advisors must have besieged the BullyPresident to relent and lower the flag by Monday afternoon. They probably found that it wasn’t playing well with the base or simply that it made him look so-o-o trifling. So 45 fell in line and signed the proclamation to fly flags at half staff for the next week. But the need to be convinced exposes his true self and he doesn’t get any credit for the do-over.

low angle view of flag against blue sky

Photo by Will Milne on Pexels.com

Agent Orange has no legitimate claim to wave the American flag. He can speechify that everyone must stand for the national anthem, but he doesn’t himself know the words, as he demonstrated at a couple of events. Instead, he has weaponized the flag in service of the very causes it shouldn’t represent. It shouldn’t be used to denigrate fallen heroes. It shouldn’t represent racism and oppression, but it has and will continue to in the hands of the current administration and their supporters.

Unindicted Conspirator

 

close up court courthouse hammer

Photo by Pixabay on Pexels.com

BOOM! From the moment Michael Cohen plead guilty to inappropriate campaign contributions and named the president as the man who ordered him to do it, Agent Orange became an unindicted co-conspirator. Any other person named would been indicted for that, but the Oval Office stands between him and an orange jumpsuit. The minions have already mobilized to question whether it is indeed a campaign contribution to bribe your mistresses into silence. One former prosecutor even suggested that if the money had another purpose outside the campaign, the law did not  apply. Wanting to spare one’s wife automatically buys a pass.  How are any of us to know if we’re not legal experts in campaign laws? Still, the prevailing wind in the Justice Department is that a sitting president can not be indicted, although this is still up for debate in legal circles as well. Mueller for his part is a true believer, so the best he can do is deliver his report to the Justice Department and then to Congress or not, because that isn’t clear either.

The administration’s response is on rewind, TheCelebrityPresident is unconcerned that his long time personal attorney/bagman lied about Trump’s role in order to implicate him in Cohen’s personal crimes. 45 did nothing wrong, and never has. He hasn’t put forward contradictory statements/tweets. And as with all things Mueller related, NO COLLUSION! is mixed in whenever possible. Do they see this development as dangerous? No, they are in a constant state of denial that the rule of law will finally ensnare him. He is rendered bulletproof by the Trumpophants and the GOP. And so far, they seem to be right.

However, no collusion is simply not true. Donald Jr by his own admission, colluded. Not in any of the statements carefully overseen by his dad. But a series of emails present a clear case. Junior knew the people he was meeting at Trump Tower were Russian agents and that Russia wanted his father to win. Not only that, but in emails after the meeting, he relished the release of emails related to the Clinton campaign. Then clearly he tried to cover it up, because he knew it could be politically unsavory, without any indication, even today, that he knew it was wrong. The emails must be true, because Donald Jr released them himself.

Still we are early days. We have no idea what information Mueller has or how he’s building his case or what new witnesses, many of whom we probably don’t yet know, have or will say. But in the tornado that surrounds 45, there appears to be little that can break through the madness. Fox News did not run the Cohen or Manafort stories as leads. Granted, they had to marshall their retorts but editorially, they didn’t want to make it appear important. Their viewership inhabits their space and will follow their Pied Pipers anywhere.

Will Agent Orange finally dawn that color coordinated jumpsuit? The overall probability that a rich white man with political power will go to jail in this country is pretty low, even in the face of the MIchael Cohen, Paul Manafort, George Papadopoulos and Rick Gates convictions. They’ve not yet been sentenced. And one with the full power of the federal government behind him, it’s never happened. Wow, the momentary lift of yesterday’s cases has already faded.

Aretha Franklin R.I.P.

Aretha

Throughout the last couple of days, the airwaves were filled with the sounds of Aretha Franklin. I hope she died peacefully without pain or regret. I hope her faith brought her comfort. She is without a doubt one of the 10 best vocalists of all times.

Much of her music formed the soundtrack of my life. We’ve all sung “Respect”, maybe hundreds of times. Before today, in my case,  it was for karaoke at daughter’s wedding. But there are so many others, like Ain’t No Way, I Ain’t Never Loved a Man. One of her gospel songs was a favorite of my grandmother who died when I was an adolescent. It never fails to bring a tear and sometimes a lot of them, to my eyes. Her unique voice was instantly recognizable. Every song she sang she made her own.

But more than a singer, she was a consummate musician, not just with her voice but also as an accomplished pianist. She co-wrote a number of songs with her sisters. She also understood early that she needed to control her product and she composed her arrangements. She was a savvy businesswoman as well. Armed with perfect pitch, she was a perfectionist, demanding the same of those who sang and worked with her. She knew what she wanted and she worked hard to make sure she got it. And when she performed, she gave a hundred per cent. It was her sense that she could not continue to do that in the face of her illness as it stole her health that led her finally to retire from performing.

Throughout her experience, her friends say she remained humble with a great sense of humor. Not that she didn’t assert her privilege as the Queen of Soul when needed, but it was in the service of maintaining her vision and giving that hundred per cent.  By all accounts, she was kind and a great friend. Celebrity can not shield people from tragedy and Aretha had her share, but she always moved on. No doubt music was instrumental in that.

There will never be another Aretha Franklin. Her unique voice and talents will never come again. But also, Aretha will be remembered for how she made us feel. Her music gave me moments of complete abandon when there was nothing in my head but the rhythm of the music and the movement of my body. She will stay with us forever.

Black Klansman WOW!

Spike Lee’s movie, “Black Klansman” sent me over on an emotional rollercoaster that I would never have anticipated. I knew, coming from Spike Lee, that it would be layered and complicated but did not see that it would so profoundly trip my own touchstones.

There I was, reproduced in Patrice, that fist pumping Angela Davis afro rocking Black Nationalist. My Afro was a beauty. I still treasure that photo where my hair blossoms before a beautiful sunset sitting in the Badlands in South Dakota. But that phase gave way when I moved on to Marx and socialism and finally years later to middle class professionalism, where I suspect many other college educated African Americans landed too. I had a few friends who moved to Africa, but not many.

In some of his other films, Lee has a tendency to heavy handedly reiterate his points in the dialogue, as if we couldn’t derive it from the scenes. There was none of that in “Black Klansman”, perhaps because he co-wrote the script or his directorial hand has matured. The film spoke through the dialogue, the characters, the action, the editing and the score as all good films do.

Adam Driver’s character Flip has that moment of becoming woke as he moves from not thinking about his Jewish heritage except for the Star of David pendant he must remove  to the point where he says “Now I think about it all the time”. His transformation evolved from his defense of the Holocaust as Hitler’s greatest achievement and his evasion of the “Jew” lie detector test and the various epithets he dropped in the company of Klansman. Flip, conceived as Jewish is Spike Lee addition and not part of the story as told in Ron Stallworth’s book. He was configured to fit Lee’s message.

That sequence is a clarion call to Jews and other minorities today. Just as in the Third Reich, many ethnic non-religious Jews who thought of themselves as German, or Austrian or French, found themselves carved out for extermination for just one Jewish ancestor. Given the prominence of white supremacists and Nazis among Trump followers as well as Jeff Sessions penchant for finding ways to eliminate nonwhites, they may find themselves suddenly reclassified and ejected from whiteness. There are probably Jews among those who would be subject to the first step toward expelling a larger number of immigrants than can be caught at the border. Stephen Miller has proposed deporting any immigrant who received public assistance of any kind, including Medicaid under ACA expansion. Almost all asylum seekers receive assistance when they first arrive, as well they should if they are to begin new lives that will make them productive citizens. That includes groups like Southeast Asians after the Vietnam War and the Lost Boys from Ethiopia and even the Cubans still arriving today.  

The film closes with a shot that moves from a burning cross outside the apartment to the tiki torches of Charlotteville and David Duke’s comments about white supremacists jump to the presidency of Agent Orange, as Lee refers to him. This, by the way is not the first time the KKK has been prominent as government officials, from the state level to the White House of Woodrow Wilson.

But what struck me, as I watched those Black Power chants juxtaposed with Harry Belafonte’s truly moving lynching narrative and the KKK ritual initiation ceremony was the sheer naivete of the movement itself. What were we thinking? We were then, as now, 13% of the population. Did we think we could bully the powers that be into “setting us free”, whatever that meant? We were gnats annoying a bear, which is not an actual natural occurrence.

The fact that we remain only 13% of the population says something about our inability to thrive. We’ve tried every damn thing: begging, pleading, taking beatings and fire hosing, fighting in wars to show that we were willing to die for the country that routinely f@*ked us over. We marched, we threw rocks, bottles, Molotov cocktails. We demanded, we threatened. We ran for office, when they would let us; we introduced legislation. And yet, we still can’t live where we want and are being shot dead in the streets without even a flicker of justice.

The US population has grown larger around us, mostly plumped up by immigrants from Mexico, Central America and Asians from across that continent. What strikes me is that when whites are no longer the country’s majority, we will be just one of the many minorities who will make up the majority. Although we’ve been waiting in line the longest, I don’t see that we will finally get our freedom then. While Spanish speakers are the largest and most rapidly reproducing group, they have not been immune to the appeal of racism and many are burdened with the same stereotypes and prejudices. Many Asians are financially comfortable and don’t see themselves as disadvantaged, except when it comes to college admissions. I don’t see any of those groups looking to African Americans for leadership or coalition or even to believe that equity for African Americans requires some recognition of our persistent institutional disadvantage. The white man has sowed his seeds of division well; we haven’t figured out that all of us should own the pie that we worked our asses off to create. And that we should decide how to divide it because there is enough of it for everyone. When the time comes, it will be more of the same old song, about gradual and more waiting.

It was a raised fist over that big beautiful Afro that brought my come to Jesus moment. Thirteen percent is not enough. We must depend on white people to Do The Right Thing. They haven’t in the past. I don’t believe they can. Black people will never have equality in the United States. Four hundred more years won’t change that.

Making Voting Harder in Georgia

wasn't allowed to voteGeorgia has a historic election for governor in  November. Stacey Abrams, an African American former state legislator is running against Brian Kemp, the current Secretary of State who oversees the state’s elections. This is a monumental election in a state that has been reliably Dixiecrat-turned-Republican since as far back as the battle over school desegregation. An African American has never been nominated to run for governor in the state. This is a state where Republicans have ignored its sizable Black minority except when it comes to the ballot box, where the usual tools, like packing Black voters into urban districts, a reliable gerrymandering technique; inappropriate voter roll purges; voter ID laws; limitation of early voting hours and manipulation of polling locations have all been employed.  The assault on enfranchisement has been stepped up in the wake of the dismantling of protections under the Voting Rights Act in 2013, which required pre-approval of changes in elections. Not unremarkably, African Americans long ago conceded that their votes didn’t count and didn’t bother to show up.

Stacy Abrams won the Democratic nomination after doggedly pursuing a campaign to register voters during the last 2 years and getting them to the polls to vote. It is no wonder that the attempts to disenfranchise Black voters is being stepped up in the interval between the primary and the general election. That in and of itself is unique and highly suspicious.

For example, the local county elections board in Randolph County will vote this week on a proposal to eliminate 7 of the 9 polling places in the county before a general election anticipated to have a significantly larger turnout than the GOP primary just concluded. On the face of it, a proposal to eliminate more than 75% of the polling sites in a county seems patently absurd. But a closer look at county demographics provides some clues.

The primarily rural county in the southwest corner of the state, not far from the Alabama border has a population that is over 61% African American. Like many Georgia counties, the residents are poor, with a median income of around $30,000, compared to $50,000 in the rest of the state. Almost 30% live below the poverty line.

Perhaps the most significant statistics are registered voters. Registered African Americans voters outnumber white ones; almost 1.5 times as many Black  women as white and a slightly higher number of Black men. There are only two towns in the county, Cuthbert and Shellman, where the proposal would situate the only remaining polling places. However, it would close the polling place in Cuthbert where 97% of voters are Black.

The board has yet to advance a rationale for the changes. All of the polling places were used during the primaries when turnout was fairly low compared to that expected in the general election. The proposal places a huge burden on the poor rural population where 22% of residents lack a means of transportation because there isn’t a public alternative to motor vehicles. Cost of gasoline for vehicle owners is also an issue as well as time lost from work for what could be a three and one half hour walk and a long wait to cast a ballot.

While this is a local county board decision, Kemp, as the Secretary of State, could evaluate the plan under his mandate to ensure that local boards comply with state and federal regulation, his personal interests dictate that he abstain. As a gubernatorial candidate, he tried to out-Trump the man himself; his win can be traced to a last minute rally and endorsement from 45. They share the same character flaw, where their own interests are placed above that of the voters, rationalized by the idea that the Trump party is the best for everyone. Except that their “everyone” is restricted to those who commonly consider themselves white.

If Kemp were above board, he would resign from the office, but that would leave him without the bag of tricks that he can leverage over the system at the state level, including ongoing voter roll purges and potential manipulation of vote counts through disqualifying provisional ballots or not counting absentee ballots. In Georgia, absentee ballots do not have to be counted unless results are close, as determined by election officials.  

The ACLU, which remains active in efforts to combat disenfranchisement of minorities, has worked media resources, filed open records requests and contacted the elections board, demanding that the polling places stay open. A spokesman for the organization said that it is waiting on Kemp’s response before considering its approach to him.  At this point, it seems likely that the county will proceed apace and the race through the courts will be on for a resolution before the November elections. I won’t be surprised when other elections boards try the same kinds of tactics leading up to the election.

stacey-abrams-compressor-640x350The Abrams-Kemp race has received a national spotlight as it is certain to receive an outpouring of out of state funding. Kemp has already introduced a campaign ad about having out-of-staters decide Georgians’ government in a state with a vociferous states’ rights history a couple of centuries old. Of course, that completely disregards the 100s of millions of dollars that will come via conservative PACs and associated GOP funders. But, Trumpophants think that’s perfectly appropriate and they will follow him anywhere. The loss of a Trumpophant governorship with possible consequences on the balance in the state legislature would sting the MakeAmericaGreat president, even more sharply because it would be to an African American woman. And without a huge turnout from new voters, African American and suburban voters. Stacy Abrams can not win.

Unite The Right Fizzled

KKK MaskThe idea that white supremacists would mass in a park across the street from the White House was ludicrous on the face of it. The permit was only for 400 and attendance was one tenth of that. In a city with presidential level security, like snipers perched on the roof of the White House and surrounding buildings, the militias, Nazis and sundry white supremacists would not have that visual presence, dramatized by AKs, and military grade weapons. With security cameras concentrated on the site, they couldn’t march barefaced and proud. That was all in the past. They chose Charlottesville last year, for its open carry gun laws and a mayor primed to let his police stand by and watch people being beaten, arrest no one and later pursue and prosecute none of those barefaced boys so easily identified in the gigabytes of videos. Charlottesville had its tradition of selective policing to uphold. It’s not as if the violence couldn’t have been anticipated from the violent confrontations that had been scattered across the area leading up to the march. Washington DC promised none of that.

And why would they need to do any of that when they have the White Supremacist in Chief in the White House? They have Laura Ingraham on Fox News calmly staring directly into a camera sharing their message with the world. They can go back to their computers where they can create ways to work around the apparent social media crackdown on hate groups. They still have their message boards and dark websites. And the thugs among them can practice their fight drills so they can attack anti-fa groups at protests or random people of color they don’t like. They don’t need to parade in front of the media anymore because the bargain had be struck in Charlottesville last year. Donald J Trump, president of the United States told them all the needed to know.Trump-Yes-We-Klan-58b8dc8f3df78c353c23c890

Alligators In The DC Swamp

alligator head

People who work for crooks become crooks. Even if they didn’t begin that way. If they work in an atmosphere that winks at dishonesty, they are likely to do what others around them do.

“Drain the swamp!” was a chant that resonated throughout Make America Great rallies during the 2016 campaign. It’s Hillary Clinton who was the crook that schemed with the wealthy, with the implication that Trump is honest as the day is long. Fast forward to the day when the CelebrityTVPresident announced that he needs to have rich people in his administration, not that he didn’t love poor people.

That statement was a defense of Trump’s cabinet and administration picks. 45 has drawn from a circle of the 1%, shepherded by his friends in the Koch Klatch. Normally, presidential appointments are extensively vetted before a job is offered. But in the current administration, appointments were announced before any vetting had been done, sometimes surprising the appointee themselves.

There is no question that Trump is a crook. His business history is replete with shaky deals with money laundering Russian millionaires. Even before that, he was well known to refuse to compensate contractors, many cases ending in lawsuits and settlements. He created scams like Trump University. His long time lawyer, Michael Cohen, is essentially a shakedown artist, who sounds more like a mob lawyer bullying opponents. And since he’s become president, he’s shamelessly promoted his own properties. He’s shunted foreigners, government officials, lobbyists and businessmen to his Washington Hotel.

Is it any wonder that his administration would attract fellow travelers, itching to feed at the government trough? Alligators came out of the brush to slither into the Trump swamp, as longtime established Washington gators found themselves outside the MAGA sphere. It’s a new day in the more densely populated DC Everglades.

A trap has recently been sprung on Commerce Secretary, Wilbur Ross. In an article in Forbes https://www.forbes.com/sites/danalexander/2018/08/06/new-details-about-wilbur-rosss-businesses-point-to-pattern-of-grifting/. Dan Alexander lays out a devastating portrait of Ross, the most dotardly looking member of the cabinet. Ross has been the defendant in a number of lawsuits alleging that he systematically stole from the associates in WL Ross & Company, a private equity firm. In one, Ross settled confidentially with David Storper for $4 million on the eve of the trial. Another suit was settled in 2007 for much the same allegations. And yet another suit, dismissed on a technicality, is now being appealed.

But that’s only the tip of the iceberg. Former associates have described Ross as a money grubbing operator who is loose with the truth. Alexander quoted one colleague, “he’s a pathological liar”. One of his little lies was to Forbes, where he consistently overstated his wealth to join and move up in its billionaire ranking list.

The most serious charges involve Ross’ private equity fund. Apparently, Ross was nickel and diming his investors through improperly calculated fees and pocketing some of the contractual rebates. It’s not exactly nickels and dimes; at least one lawsuit alleged $48 million of improper fees. He was also pocketing a portion of the compensation he was receiving for serving on corporate boards, which was supposed to be rebated to investors.

Trump came to his rescue with his job offer. His fund’s returns were flagging; the SEC had just announced that the firm would pay a $2.3 million fine. Actually, the fine was a bit larger. Over the previous 2 years, the firm’s parent company, Invesco, had paid $43 million in reimbursements and regulatory expenses related to WL Ross. The SEC also forced the firm to refund $11.9 million that had been skimmed from its investors through inappropriately charging fees, even on its own employees personal accounts.

Ross has of course denied it all, even in the face of court filings and SEC documents, as any liar would. 45 recognized Ross as a kindred spirit. But there’s something else the two have in common, a penchant to fraternize with Russian oligarchs and actually with Putin’s family. Why is Donald Trump Putin’s Bonbon? As vice chairman and leading investor in the Bank of Cyprus, an offshore haven for Russian oligarch cash, one of his colleagues was Vladimir Strzhalkovsky, who had worked with Putin in the KGB. Another major investor in the bank was Viktor Vekselberg, a close associate of Putin as well. After moving to head the Commerce Department, Ross resigned from the Bank, but retained part ownership of Navigator Holdings, a shipping company that transported Russian natural gas for Sibur. Two of Sibur’s owners are Gennady Timchencko, a judo partner and close friend of Putin’s, and Kirill Shamalov, Putin’s son-in-law.

People who work for crooks become crooks.

It’s hard for a zebra to change its stripes and Ross is no different. While he signed a document attesting that he had divested himself of all his interests after entering the cabinet, Navigator Holdings would seem to contradict that. He also retained somewhere between $10 and $50 million in stock in Invesco. It seemed he was holding on to it to sell when its value rose by $1.2 million one month later. He claimed he didn’t know he still had it, much like he did over the $73,000 in Air Lease which he finally sold a full year after he said he had. Those omissions for a seasoned investor obsessed with money simply strain our credibility.

Undaunted by an investigation by the Office of Government Ethics, Ross dined with the CEO of a company in which he still held a stake after the investigation had ended in a simple reprimand. But Senator John Thune brought the information to the inspector general to take another look. And thinking he was ahead of the game, he short sold his Navigator Holdings shares after he was tipped that the information was about to leak.

Ross is but one of the alligators cruising the swamp. Paul Manafort is front and center as a study of swampiness. He was one of the original swamp dwellers, back in the days of Ronald Reagan. His contribution was the innovative double breasted operation of helping candidates to win and then lobbying those he helped elect for clients he had solicited based on his connections with elected officials. Influence peddling by a grander name. He then exported his dog and pony show to other countries, taking on foreign dictators like Ferdinand Marcos in the Philippines and Mabuto in Zaire to name a few. Later he moved onto the former Soviet Union countries and then tried to make a jump back into the Republican Party from which he came. When he stepped into Trump’s campaign as a volunteer campaign manager, he found a home for his sundry baggage with a lot of other kindred reptiles. Although he was forced to leave the campaign after 6 months when FBI investigations into payments from the Ukraine were revealed, Manafort remained in contact with Trump at least until the transition if not into the White House. Here again, a little vetting could have gone a long way, although the ethics or lack thereof in the group around 45 prevent them from evaluating behaviors that are by most other standards unethical and often illegal. Instead, their moral turpitude seems to draw these people together.  

More on the swamp to come.

Photo by Flickr on Pexels.com

Kompromat, More Complicated Than It Seems

cloak of secrecy

 

We have addressed what Russians call kompromat a number of times before, Why is Donald Trump Putin’s Bonbon? but a recent piece from the New Yorker https://www.newyorker.com/news-desk/swamp-chronicles/a-theory-of-trump-kompromat adds a much more sophisticated spin. The use of kompromat reveals it is more than simply transactional, like we think of blackmail. Most of us have not lived in an authoritarian state where state police has its eye on every citizen and rewards citizens for providing information on their neighbors. Citizens see it as part of their patriotic duty to come forward with information as well as answer requests by the state to do their bidding. A citizen travelling abroad would not be uncomfortable answering questions for intelligence agents about their trips and what they observed. As oppressive as our government has been, these activities would be unthinkable here; indeed, we have legal protections against it.

Adam Davidson, in “A Theory of Trump Kompromat”, lays out some complexities in the use of kompromat. It is used daily in routine interactions throughout Russia among businesspeople, political figures and intelligence agencies to curry favor or improve a negotiating position and even to change opinions. Adamson cites Keith Darden, a professor of international relations from American University, explaining that the former Soviet Union could be characterized as the “blackmail state”, the practice is so powerfully entrenched.

Kompromat can be a single act of misconduct, like let’s say the acts depicted on the infamous pee-pee tape or Scott Pruitt’s first class travel, which is used to control the perpetrator. The Kremlin has been known to manufacture embarrassing sexual situations to discredit political enemies. That fatal male flaw, thinking with their dicks, has been a recurring theme throughout history.

While 45 has his own sordid public history of sexual misconduct, Stormy Daniels and Karen McDougal being the most recent to surface, it seems unlikely that the Kremlin would try to leverage Trump with that. Russian intelligence is certainly well informed enough to know that as well as the piece that Trump supporters don’t care and haven’t since the first inklings during the campaign.

But Trump’s history of shadowy financial dealings and money laundering, a telltale record of financial misconduct, possibly dating back decades, seems like more fertile territory. Outside of New York and Miami, Trump deals in Panama and Toronto exhibit the telltale signs of money laundering through shell companies obscuring the identities of the actual purchasers. But financial crimes, particularly involving foreign actors where US law enforcement lacks subpoena power, have seldom been prosecuted. It also speaks to one of the quirks of the US justice system; white collar crime is less vigorously pursued because it involves the double privileges of white skin and wealth. Oh yeah, and male gender, just ask Martha Stewart.

An informal hierarchy sistema,  relies on ambiguity to control its members; no one person really knows where he stands, no one except Putin,

But Adamson goes on to say that kompromat is powerful in Russia because the legal system throughout the countries of the former Soviet Union was weak.  In the absence of institutional rules, the power that presaged wealth circulated around and through networks of political figures and business associates through unspoken rules. Alena Ledeneva from the University College London has called this informal hierarchy sistema. Sistema relies on ambiguity to control its members; no one person really knows where he stands, no one except Putin, and even he, with all the resources of the state at his disposable, is constantly swatting flies. Uncertainty breeds caution and the need for constant monitoring of rivals and friends.

Ledeneva contends that Trump never dealt with anyone close to Putin or the Kremlin, only peripheral figures, often in networks drawn from common ethnic or national roots. I remain skeptical of that though, in view of Trump’s extensive financial dealings and real estate transactions with Russians and others from former Soviet satellites. A number of names keep resurfacing in different stories, including people like Putin’s Judo partner. Still even peripheral associations can be damaging and become slips of kompromat, one never knows.

In sistema, damaging information can come from rivals as well as partners. It may be that a number of different businesses in other countries as well as Russia all hold pieces of kompromat on Trump independently.  For instance, his Azerbaijani partners were linked to senior officers in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Without knowing that Trump would become president, evidence of communications and transactions from one business deal could provide leverage for others. Perhaps, the appearances of various Russians at CelebrityTVPresident events are sistema reminders to secure influence within the current administration rather than indicators of support as we tend to think of it.

The various bits and pieces of Trump’s kompromat may have been communicated to Putin as well as Trump. Putin knows, as does Trump, that he may be able to scratch up as much kompromat as he desires or even create some.  The image of Putin as a well established dictator who rules Russia with an iron fist fitted in a glove monogrammed “democracy”, is contrasted as Adamson quotes Pavlovsky, a Russian writer, “[Putin] has never managed to build a bureaucratically successful authoritarian state. Instead, he has merely crafted his own version of sistema… that will outlast Putin himself. Putin has mastered sistema, but he has not replaced it with…a ‘Putin system’. Someday Putin will go. But sistema will stay.”  He adds, “Under Putin, sitema has become a method for making deals among businesses, powerful players, and the people. Business has not taken over the state, nor vice versa; the two have merged in a union of total and seamless corruption.”

Anxiety in sistema is its most effective weapon. Each actor is aware that there are others out there who could potentially destroy their business or reputation, and it is that constant uncertainty that keeps each actor in line. At the same time, each actor has the potential to destroy others, and yet, the use of kompromat could boomerang back on them. Kompromat is powerful when the actors aren’t quite sure how much destructive information is out there. The true power of kompromat lies in holding onto it because if people are not sure what and how much is out there, they are less likely to step out of line. The actors may wander into sistema, but most of them are doing something they shouldn’t.

Adamson lays out a scenario which starts with a naive Donald Trump, desperate to revive his business while shut off from borrowing from standard financial sources, may have laundered money  for a Russian oligarch or a business partner from Russia or its former satellite countries. Or he may have committed some other financial crime. In doing so, he wandered into sistema, where he continued to conduct business with other members of a select group of former Soviet satellites. The supposedly astute businessman has been stuck since. Only now, after becoming president, he dreads an unspecified amount of kompromat out there. What it is, who has it and what is the spark that will prompt its use is something that Trump can’t get his head around. Trump’s best move is to maintain his alliances, something he’s had difficulty doing within the administration and internationally as well as his past business relationships. For all we know, he may be responding to kompromat in breaking alliances, although it just feels like who Donald J Trump is. If they’re not one of his children, Trump associates should watch their back.

Here’s where the narrative gets tangled. The number of oligarchs from former Soviet Union countries is limited, controlled to some extent through Putin’s circle of influence. Because of that, some names keep popping up in stories surrounding the Mueller investigation.

One of those names is Oleg Deripaska, an aluminum magnate who rose to power in the 1990s surrounded by rumors of deaths among rivals. Deripaska and his partner, Nat Rothschild, a British born financier were former clients of Paul Manafort, at least until they had a falling out over the disappearance of $18.9 million Deripaska gave Manafort to invest in 2006.

Deripaska, like many around Putin, always had an eye out for anything that would endear him with his president. Deripaska’s financial interests dovetailed with Putin’s political interests in the Ukraine in 2004 when political unrest threatened his aluminum smelter; Deripaska and Rothschild sent Manafort ot Kiev to assess the situation. Once there, Manafort took Viktor Yanukovych under his wing, after he lost the election. He molded and rebranded him and his party, scripting their way into a Yanukovych presidency in 2010.

As a close advisor to Yanukovych, Manafort had access to both Russian and Ukrainian oligarchs which he saw as his ticket to the mega-income of a businessman, not simply rich consultant. He formed a private equity firm, Pericles, with Rick Gates at the helm to acquire assets in Ukraine. Gates is currently testifying in the Manafort trial. He also pitched a plan that would increase his friend’s influence with Putin through a campaign that would benefit the government in Moscow. Apparently, Deripaska passed. But by 2007, Manafort tapped Deripaska for a commitment of $100 million. In turn, Manafort helped clean up Deripaska’s image from murdering thug, to acceptability in circles where investors, politicians, including US Congressmen and Senators, diplomats mixed and mingled.

The 2008 crash plummeted Deripaska’s net worth $28 billion, enough for him to ask for a $4.5 billion bailout from a Russian state bank. As part of his efforts to stabilize his finances, the Russian asked Manafort to liquidate Pericles and return his share, but that didn’t happen, just as the audit of the firm never happened either. Manafort’s answer was to stop responding to Deripaska. Ultimately the Russian filed a petition in the Caymans in 2014 in an effort to recover his millions. The debt is the source of ongoing enmity between the two. 

Deripaska himself had become a persona non grata in the US; he was denied business visas several times because of allegations that he was connected to circles of organized crime. The Kremlin, however, provided him with a diplomatic visa which he used for several trips to the US. As he testified in a lawsuit in Manhattan, between 2011 and 2014, he made 8 trips to the US, in connection with meetings at the UN and the G-20. He denied having conducted business during his brief visits, but his companies have offices in Manhattan. His holdings have grown over the last 10 years to include a major stake in a Russian language paper in New York bought in 2014 and the purchase of two high priced Manhattan townhouses, purchased through shell companies.   

Because Manafort remained allied with Yanukovych until he fled the country for Moscow in 2014, the FBI uncovered information on Manafort’s financial maneuvering while investigating Yanukovych. In the meantime, Manafort had a nervous breakdown as his financial empire collapsed before it began and his marriage fell apart with his wife’s discovery of a long time affair. In recovery, he sought a way out of mounting debt through volunteering as campaign manager for Donald Trump.

One of the first things Manafort did after taking that volunteer position with the Trump campaign, was to contact Deripaska through an intermediary, Konstantin Kilimnik, a long time Russian business associate in the Ukraine, believing that he would somehow get back on the gravy train. It’s rumored that he offered to provide Deripaska private insider information and access. No one at that time could have believed that Trump would win, so he couldn’t have promised influence in the administration but he could have anticipated some lobbying in a friendly GOP Congress, many of whom Manafort already knew. He could also add another revamp of the oligarch’s image. On the other hand, perhaps Deripaska was aware of the efforts in his country that would score victory for Trump.

It was during this period that the New York Times launched an investigation into Manafort and his business with Kilimnik. That investigation stumbled across a ledger documenting secret payments to Manafort which eventually led to his resignation as Trump’s campaign manager and the FBI investigation that has resulted in his indictment and trial taking place right now.

At one point, the oligarch offered to testify before congressional committees investigating Russian meddling, certainly an opportunity to lay out some kompromat payback. The legislators declined to accept his demand for complete immunity to appear which could have complicated any criminal investigations.

Sanctions against Deripaska, owner of  Rusal, Russian aluminum company and Manafort business investor have been softened and may be ended

Deripaska’s name popped up when both he and his aluminum company Rusal appeared on the list of Russian oligarchs sanctioned in April, levied by the Trump administration in response to Russia’s ongoing action in Ukraine and Syria as well as the attempted assassination of Sergei Skripal in London and maybe for meddling in the 2016 election. That last one is sometimes part of the rationale, like when Mnuchin talks about them but his boss is less likely to include election meddling except when he’s pretending that he’s been tougher on Moscow than previous presidents in front of his MAGA rallies.

Can it be that sistema was triggered by the sanctions? Deripaska was forced to resign from Rusal and its holding company En+ after the sanctions dropped its stock price by 50%. But soon after the announcement, the Treasury extended the deadlines and not just once. The company had hired a lobbying firm, Mercury Public Affairs, the same firm that Manafort had used to lobby members of Congress on behalf of Ukraine and Viktor Yanukovych for $1.1 million. The firm has tried to massage ambassadors from France, Australia and Germany into endorsing lifting the sanctions.

Mercury filed successfully with the Justice Department to extend the deadline for Deripaska to get below 50% ownership of En+ and the deadline was extended for the second time to July 31. This coincidentally (wink, wink) followed the infamous Surrender at Helsinki on July 16. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has taken it a step further, musing that he should lift the sanctions on Rusal because it was punishing hard working Russians? Strange that this should be a concern of the America First administration.

The tale of Deripaska and Manafort is just one example of kompromat within sistema involving many players from the lawyers who create the shell companies, those involved with offshore cash stashes, the lobbyists, associated oligarchs, Russian intelligence, dealmakers, partners and customers and on and on. Each individual may have a stake in keeping the secrets least they blow back on them. Each is probably ignorant of the others who are playing in the pond with them. They are all apprehensive hoping to avoid the ax or get ahead of it by pulling the trigger before someone else does. How much of Trump’s tweeted “frustration” and rage is firing his campaign to double down on trashing Robert Mueller and his investigation before his beloved at Trumpophant rallies.

The sistema web may be what’s sustaining Manafort in his resolve to remain mute during his trial, not his belief in a Trump pardon. One false move and Trump could cast him out into the cold, but at the possible cost of a stream of evidence that could doom Trump. Not just from Manafort but other actors in the sistema web.  Trump doesn’t believe it for a second.

He believes he can outrun any evidence; he’s got Republicans who own the government to actively defend him against any attempt to dislodge him from the White House. He’s got his base which he can whip up to raise hell, perhaps even violence. He’s got Trump-state TV, better known as Fox News, and the conservative news bubble across platforms.

And he’s got Robert Mueller himself. Trump doesn’t actually need to stop the investigation. Mueller has said he will turn over his report to the Justice Department and Congress. Those two are free to release only what they want, “interpret” the findings or even try to bury the report. It’s clear that impeachment is not even on their radar.

What’s Up With the Brothers Koch These Days?

 

KochBrothersGain

On the heels of their acquisition of control of federal government, the cluster of billionaire donors around the Koch brothers has come out of the shadows this year for the twice a year meeting of their Network Seminar, quietly begun in 2003. Each member pledges to donate at least $100,000; some have committed millions. The group started small but Barack Obama’s election blossomed its growth exponentially. In the interim, spearheaded by the work of @JaneMayerNYer, author of Dark Money, we have come to learn more about this collection of fabulously wealthy libertarians and crackpots who want to make sure that they continue to retain and multiply their fortunes, protected from prying IRS hands. This year, it appears Koch wanted to use the media to make announcements about some new directions, sending out public cautions to wayward elected officials that their coffers might be less full in the future while at the same time pressuring them to alter their course.

Since David Koch exited Koch Industries and the organization in the spring, due either to  ill health, the official reason, or a push from Charles as some have rumored, Charles has been moving to make some changes. His son, Chase, a Koch Industries executive has increased his involvement probably being groomed for an eventual takeover from his 82 year old father. At the same time, Charles has always been the political mastermind behind billionaire’s strategy for kleptocracy. When he heard that GOP Senator Kevin Cramer from North Dakota had told others not to worry about the Kochs because they were going to support Republicans no matter what, it started the billionaire political heavyweight thinking. Koch considered that building the GOP majority by supporting party candidates has had checkered success, from the election of Obama for two terms to the ascension of the CelebrityPresident to the White House. Their beloved Tea Party, having evolved into representatives in the Freedom Caucus, has been at odds with other wings of the party, sinking critical legislation and obstructing the crafting of new bills.

The Kochs were inhaling that victim vibe from Trump and feeling used. Even as they built the party, they felt like they were taken for granted. They found that money didn’t buy lock step political agreement and philosophical alignment with them. The $1 trillion spending bill with the enormous projected increase in the federal deficit should never have happened. They were disappointed that some legislators had paid some minimal attention to their constituents’ concerns; constituents who had not been completely captured by Koch funded political propaganda. Perhaps they should have adopted the old strategy of under the table direct payment to individual voters, standard practice for political parties in the good old days of political machines.

Not that the network hasn’t scored tremendous victories under Trump in addition to well placed cabinet members dismantling the federal bureaucracy while transforming their agencies into mouth pieces for industry and finance. Advocacy groups can’t get an appointment in a schedule filled with lobbyists. The tax bill is perhaps the capping achievement. Almost as good was their ability to kill the initial device Trump adopted to help pay for it, a border adjustment tax cooked up by Paul Ryan. They also managed to continue the carried-interest loophole which allows primarily hedge fund managers and private equity investors to pay taxes at the much lower capital gains rate on the majority of their income. Trump had campaigned around eliminating it, but it remains alive and well. With Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris Climate Accord, the word climate change disappeared from government documents and all scientific investigation came to a halt, along with the scientists who have disappeared from both the payroll and consulting roles. Global warming is not a threat when your head is buried in the sand, at least until the sea rises to meet your hole.  

Koch’s disappointment led to his announcement at the latest donor meeting that the organization was going to switch to supporting candidates who would vote the way they wanted, no matter their party affiliation. The network will be intervening in a limited number of races in Tennessee, Wisconsin, Florida and Missouri for the Senate and governors races in Florida, Michigan and Nevada. Much of its $300-400 million will be spent on agitation around political and policy issues such as free trade and open immigration policies.

The Koch Klatch has already moved against Cramer in North Dakota. Americans for Prosperity weighed into his contest by supporting his opponent Heidi Heitkamp for her vote on the bill that rolled back Dodd-Frank regulations on community banks, which passed Congress with bipartisan support. They have also unveiled an advertising campaign against more Republican than Democratic lawmakers who voted for the $1 trillion federal spending package. They seem to be stopping short of  all out support of Democrats however.

Trump has turned to badmouthing the Kochs on Twitter, bragging that he’s not controlled by them because he had his own money. Using one of his stock phrases, he called their ”network highly overrated” and designated them, “Two nice guys with bad ideas.”  He taunted them with a slur that called them “a total joke in real Republican circles.” That deftly sidesteps the Breitbart hegemony that brought white nationalists out of the woodwork to the voting booths to help push Trump over the top. Breitbart and Steve Bannon are Robert Mercer babies; Mercer is an active member in the Koch orbit. 45 is one to attribute all “winning” policy and practices of his administration to his own genius, even as he happily filled his administration with Mike Pence, Kellyanne Conway, Betsy DeVos, Steve Bannon, Scott Pruitt, Ryan Zinke. Marc Short, former Congressional liaison and Mike Pompeo, all Koch sponsorees. Those are only the most visible examples; many federal agency jobs have gone to operatives or fellow travelers of the many Koch foundations and social welfare organizations. Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh were drawn from the Federalist Society list, a professional organizational product of Koch funded educational initiatives at law schools and with practicing attorneys and judges.

Charles Koch may be reconsidering the potential of a Democratic majority in the House, especially as the possibility seems to be growing. A snarl in Congress might be able to limit damage from Trump’s baser instincts on trade and immigration. Their willingness to expand their reach and reconfigure their approaches is a large contributor to their success to date. But he may have trouble taking some of the over 700 members of the Network Seminar with him. There are Trump supporters among them and how they react to Koch’s elliptical attacks on 45 is yet to be seen. Will Trumpophants curtail their donations to the network or perhaps sink them into another tax-sheltered anonymous political network?

But the Kochs have had their tentacles in many pies. Their political successes have always been based in a multipronged strategy to create the intellectual capital to support their quest for the tax-free unregulated state. They have invested heavily in universities to shift them from what they consider to be bastions of liberal intellectuals to a home for conservative thought across all disciplines. From the start, they also understood the importance of local grassroots organizing, not just for national electoral contests but also for the local elections, from school boards on up the ballot and beyond, to ballot initiatives. And they are very good at it.

One of the current Koch issue targets is mass transit. Investment in infrastructure was one of the minor issues briefly raised by 45 but then obscured within Trumpnado. Koch Industries has a lot of skin in the transportation game. Many in the Seminar Network are oil and gas men and the thought of fewer cars on the road gnaws at their bottom line. Koch Industries are major producers of gasoline and asphalt as well as automotive parts, tires and seatbelts. They do have a very different public rationale. 

Americans for Prosperity, the principle political arm of Koch organizations, has been quietly conducting campaigns to stop transit initiatives on the local level. Since 2015, the group has opposed transit measures in almost 25 separate contests. In the absence of federal initiatives, localities choking in traffic and its accompanying pollution have tried to generate their own funding with taxes. The transportation sector is the largest emitter of carbon dioxide in the nation’s economy. Americans for Prosperity has been fanning out going door to door to defeat proposals to increase local taxes to support mass transit in middle sized cities and towns, places like Little Rock Arkansas, Phoenix Arizona, central Utah, Indianapolis and Florida. In May, they scored a victory in Nashville Tennessee.

The group typically takes its show on the road to more conservative areas that have strong Republican bases. These are areas that lack a strong constituency for transit or  historical support for transportation. Residents also tend to support low taxes in preference to providing government services. In Little Rock, Americans for Prosperity fought a proposed sales tax increase for a bus and trolley by knocking on almost 5,000 doors and making over 39,000 phone calls. The group used a unique device in Utah, giving out gift cards worth $50, an amount they said represented the annual amount it would cost each resident.

Americans for Prosperity understands that the best way to win hearts and minds is through human interaction, particularly for non-Millennials. Because they are so well funded, Americans for Prosperity has the benefit of the latest technology. In this case it is a sophisticated data system built by the Kochs called i360 which uses voter registration information, social media activity and consumer data to develop its profiles. It helps identify like minded individuals who might be swayed by the group’s arguments, which makes their canvassing extremely efficient without wasting time on cold calls. They’ve used the data to make thousands of phone calls and knock on thousands of doors where they argued that trains and buses are outdated modes of transportation when we are on the verge of driverless vehicles. They point out that raising taxes for any reason is always bad, but to waste it on something that most people won’t use is worse. After all, they argue, Americans have the right to go where ever they want, whenever they want and automobiles make that possible. Most locations lack the population density to support an efficient mass transit system, with little alternative to buses which add to traffic snarls.

The group deftly exploits anxieties among residents that new modes of transportation will open their neighborhoods to “others” who live elsewhere in the city. It also raises the specter of gentrification, an attack on neighborhood cohesiveness which raises property tax bills, often to levels current residents can’t afford. Magically, keeping company profits from automobiles and gasoline high is transformed into we share common interests in cars and we have your interests at heart; the taxes we have should be lower not higher and spent on roads and highways.

In Nashville, the transit initiative seemed like a sure thing in the beginning, but it hit a stumbling block when the mayor left office after a scandalous extramarital affair with one of her security team. Americans for Prosperity was well organized and efficient; they focused on registered voters. Their inventions have rigid protocols about politeness including no more than 2 people at a door in order not to intimidate and staying off lawns. They have well practiced scripts. The supporters of mass transit floundered without a leader. Often, elections for transit initiatives have low turnout, so the groups that mobilize voters are the ones that win the day. Comfortable in their sense of overwhelming popularity, mass transit supporters were completely surprised.

Luckily for forces trying to increase our response to global warming, Americans for Prosperity hasn’t always been successful. Phoenix Arizona overcame the group’s opposition to go on to expand its light rail system.

auditorium chairs classroom college

Photo by Pixabay on Pexels.com

Another area in which Koch has invested extensively is education from kindergarten through graduate and professional schools. The Koch Foundation awarded more than $49 million to a little over 250 colleges in 2016. Recently, their university centers and grant awards have been challenged for using questionable stipulations outside the usual scope of academic arrangements. Controversy over George Mason University, one of the early recipients of Koch largesse, has been percolating for a while.

In 1981, the Mercatus Center, a think tank for “market-oriented ideas” which the Washington Post called a “staunchly anti-regulatory center” moved onto the George Mason campus, the beneficiary of some $30 million from Koch foundations. There were critics who charged that Mercatus was a lobbying group disguised as an academic center. In fact, the Institute for Humane Studies, chaired by Charles Koch shared the building with Mercatus. The aim of the IHS was to cultivate a generation of libertarian scholars. Acceptance criteria included the number of times Ayn Rand’s name came up in applicant essays. At the same time, George Mason’s economics department was generating theories that fed the supply-side economics of the Reagan administration. George Mason emerged as a libertarian mecca.

Over the last year, George Mason students and faculty submitted Freedom of Information Act requests for details of Koch Foundations grants; in response, the institution’s president revealed that since 2003, all of the agreements except one stated that the university had final approval of faculty hiring but that donors were granted the right to participate in selection and evaluation committees. Such arrangements are far outside academic standards but it was a retreat from the original arrangements where the foundation determined both faculty and students. Even as late as 2007 and 2009, five member selection committees for professors included 2 donor members. There are also concerns about the anonymous donor whom some believe is Leonard Leo, the director of the Federalist Society, who funded a name change of the law school to Antonin Scalia.

Faculty and students at Wake Forest, Florida State and others have voiced similar criticism. An FSU agreement from 2008 and one from the same period at Utah State also granted donors seats on faculty selection committees. Concern on campuses has stoked an  organization, UnKoch My Campus. Koch’s new policy of transparency applies only to future grant agreements, not previous ones and UnKoch My Campus is doggedly pursuing disclosure of previous Koch agreements, even into court. Montana State and University of Utah also have active UnKoch My Campus members.

As part of Charles Koch’s efforts to emerge from the group’s cloak and dagger approach, he announced recently that his foundation would begin publishing the details of its multi year university grants. In that vein, the foundation gave their latest agreement with Arizona State for a $6.5 million center in the Sandra Day O’Connor College of Law to Atlantic Magazine. In a statement of its giving guidelines, it said that the faculty would determine how the funds were used, how the leadership, including the Director was selected and that those procedures would be in line with University policies. These contracts do not, however, preclude a less formalized process for influencing faculty hires and the direction of faculty research. Koch funded faculty could easily sit on search committees and follow fund criteria. This wink and nod approach of unwritten and unspoken practices leaves no record to be unearthed and those involved are unlikely to betray their roles. Koch’s announcement of new transparency may simply signal a change to less traceable donor influence at academic institutions. He has used this strategy in the past.

   Although Koch groups continue to press issues surrounding erasing government regulation, lower taxes and smaller government, their electoral efforts have been directed toward building a permanent GOP dynasty that can’t be dislodged by voter opposition to its policies. This includes hegemony of state legislatures with computer enhances tools for gerrymandering as well as electoral officials purging voter registries and voter ID laws.  The ultimate goal is a Constitutional amendment banning income tax. A more issue rather than party based approach in the political arena has some interesting implications for future political realignments. The centrist space that had encompassed a range of thought across conservative Democrats, liberal Republicans and independents, has collapsed. Non-Trumpophants disgusted with the GOP are circling for some place to land. Kochtopus is ultra-libertarian, having infused issues like less government regulation, smaller federal government, fewer federal expenditures which encompasses eliminating social welfare programs for the poor into the GOP mainstream. They are less opposed to welfare programs for businesses and large corporations. After all, many of their companies grew exponentially with the help of government  contracts and subsidies. Many of the Republican Party deserters carry these ideas with them though and a Koch strategy to support candidates who are “right” on any one of those issues creates the basis for a new political party that will have to contend with a new Trump Party in the making going forward.

As the Republican Party dominated government has ballooned the federal deficit, these issues will come increasingly to the fore. The RealityTVPresident is likely to break toward whatever makes him popular, like the farm subsidies in the wake of his trade wars and keep him in power. Eventually, the budget is going to be consumed with debt service, particularly as interest rates are beginning to rise and economic growth rate stalls at far lower levels than Trumponomics predicts. The as yet unknown impact of the trade wars may undermine economic growth and dampen consumer spending. That is the opposite direction of true Republican conservatives and Koch. The Kochs have the successful history of creating the Tea Party movement, literally from thin air and a few staged rallies into an electoral force, so nothing is beyond their potential reach, as long as people are still falling prey to their message.