It is the nature of Agent Orange to manufacture data that supports his worldview. It’s not simply his character; it’s his essence. He’s been doing it probably his whole life, but certainly since adolescence. He is currently driven by the constant need to regurgitate propaganda to gin up his base. Like a carnival barker, he must one-up his last fictional assertion with a new one. That’s his political game in a nutshell.
The movie Vice has reminded us of the Bush (actually Cheney) administration’s Big Lie, WMDs, in the crusade to create an international coalition and approbation to take down Saddam Hussein. Remember when people could not trust the government because it kept leading us astray. For some moderates and liberals, Obama reversed that perception, at least some of the time. For conservatives and the racists they inspire, Obama augmented a fury against a government that was attacking their whiteness because the president was a darkie. Fox News swooped into position beside Breitbart, Infowars, Rush Limbaugh and the conservative mediasphere. They let their imaginations run wild, creating conspiracy theories and imaginary connections that revved up to swallow Hillary Clinton who was dragging a goodie bag of her own conspiracies from the Clinton White House onward. If the government was not the purveyor of truth, the conservative mediasphere was. No need to check sources or even listen to anyone else. They found Jesus in the media pronouncements and for that, they needed only faith.
Now that the Fabricator in Chief is in the White House, his words to the faithful come from God; a capricious God, no doubt, who flip flops from moment to moment just to keep the faithful on their toes. Only the faithful and an entourage of anxious politicians afraid they will lose their chosen profession are buying in. The rest of us, as the cloak around the administration’s action tightens, are desperate to figure out what really is going on and how to counter the endless stream of propaganda. If a man misinforms every minute of the day, how can anyone believe what he says? Ever!
Only a gray haired white evangelist from Indiana who calls his wife mother could imagine that MS-13 was concealed in the middle of the caravan.
In the run up to the midterms, Mike Pence told the Washington Post that it was hard not to imagine that concealed in the middle of the menacing hordes that formed the caravan were MS-13 members. Only a gray haired white evangelist from Indiana who calls his wife mother could imagine that. The women and children sought the safety of the caravan to escape MS-13. MS-13 don’t roll in cognito. Their tattooes scream their identities. There wouldn’t be a caravan if it contained MS-13 members. People running for their lives would have found another way, because any place where MS-13 is, is by definition, hazardous.
The entire White-Supremacist-in-Chief immigrant confection is a Disney World terror ride, Migrants from the Southern Border. They make Black Jack the Pirate look like a saint. First, it identifies the wrong group of immigrants as the big problem. Actually, immigration is not a problem for the US; it has provided the largest increase of workers in an American labor force that suffers from a low reproductive rate and a bulge in baby boomers leaving the workforce and dying. The problem is an immigration system overburdened with bureaucracy designed to restrict immigration from certain countries to favor immigration of white Europeans. The bureaucracy forced people to immigrate illegally rather than wait through the years long delays imposed by quotas. Depending on the country, waits can be as long as 10-15 years. (Immigrants Must be Meritorious!; Let the Children Cry)
Illegal immigration has been decreasing for several years. The largest group of immigrants to the US are people who overstay their visas, primarily from Asia. Everyone looks around and sees a bunch of Spanish speaking immigrants and thinks, oh, they must be the problem. And they have come in large numbers in the past. But long before Agent Orange seized the White House, immigration from Mexico was a net outflow and from Central America was rising. Many of those immigrants were seeking asylum, not simply economic opportunity, because of lawlessness in their own countries – kidnapping, rape, extortion, protection rackets, murders, and the collateral murders of bystanders, and executions. Helpless governments made possible the supremacy of drug cartels over police and military forces.
One oft stated problem with a porous border are the drugs and illegal guns that cross the border. That’s a false flag, unrelated to the immigrants seeking asylums. The bulk of the traffic is not from mules but from runners who work for the cartels, crossing back forth. Undaunted by facts, the link between men, women and children crossing the border, they say, is that they are are rapists and murderers. In fact, the BullyPresident has told us that Mexico is sending these immigrants intentionally, clearing their country of undesirables. Of course, government don’t send immigrants. Individuals make their own personal decision to go. But not in DJT’s narratives.
45 conflates illegal immigration with immigrants seeking asylum. These are not the same people. Treatment of asylum seekers is governed by different laws. It is not illegal to cross the US border seeking asylum.
As it happens, there is a crisis at the border, one that Agent Orange created. It began when barring immigration was equated with border security; the two are not synonymous. Then, with conflating illegal immigration with immigrants seeking asylum. These are not the same people. Treatment of asylum seekers is governed by different laws. It is not illegal to cross the US border seeking asylum. Jeff Sessions then declared that it was illegal and therefore, required that everyone crossing the border should be arrested, jailed and taken to court.
Gone ignored were the changes in who was crossing the border. Now it has become primarily women and children, not men and even unaccompanied minors, coming from Central American countries. And while the administration is screaming about the huge numbers, they are nowhere near numbers under the Obama administration. Yes, the system is overwhelmed but that is the result of mandatory arrests and the insistence on holding immigrants in detention, rather than releasing them until their cases can be adjudicated.
And for the large proportion of women and children, there are no facilities. Thus the use of makeshift shopping center buildings with cement floors and fencing, all manned by an expanded number of contractors responsible for transport and supervision and less dependence on county and city jails. The contractors are more concerned with maximizing their profit than providing for their charges. And the stigma of lawbreaker imposed by the administration has led personnel to see them as “less thans”, undeserving of fair treatment.
The most recent tactic of forcing immigrants to incubate in Mexico under even worse conditions while waiting for months to cross the border is yet another humanitarian nightmare. In other words, the humanitarian crisis lies squarely with the Trump administration’s aggressive inhumane policies. The crisis can just as easily be resolved by ending them and returning to previous policies if the GOP has no other ideas. No state of emergency is required.
Out building support for the Wall become national emergency, Kirstjen Nielsen recently elaborated on the humanitarian crisis at the border by citing 60,000 unaccompanied minors last year, and 30% of women raped on the journey. The 7 of 10 women she cited as victims of violence include many who are fleeing domestic violence and gang related attacks at home. She is simply restating the reasons why these individuals are seeking asylum. They are not new, they have been going on for years. If this represents a crisis, why has Sessions anti-humanitarian response been the elimination of these issues as a basis for asylum.
Moreover, none of these conditions are within the Trump administration’s purview. She made no mention of the inhumane treatment her agency is inflicting on immigrants and asylum seekers alike by warehousing them in overcrowded facilities and jails, separating children and then losing them. The absence of minimal if any health screening and no real medical care, resulting in the death of 2 children, is appalling. Flu season has transformed these facilities into incubators for a public health disaster. The poorly nourished living in unsanitary conditions are a set up for increased flu mortality. Nielsen was so ashamed, she barred the press from her recent border facility tour. The administration speaks with forked tongue.
Conservative propaganda has tried to characterize asylum seekers as sinister operatives seeking to exploit loopholes in the immigration process. But consider, they must be desperate to walk 2880 miles for an uncertain asylum application. Right now, there is a backlog of over 1 million cases for hearings in the immigration court system. That amounts to about a 5 year wait. In the past, that five years of waiting was spent in the US which meant that people began to establish new lives with the caveat that it might end in deportation if the application was denied. Despite administration hype, the majority of asylum seekers comply with the process because a green card and ultimately citizenship are the brass ring in the end. Now there are months of wait before even beginning the process of a threat interview designed to determine if the applicant is eligible for asylum. Yet, there must be some validity to their claims. If the last caravan is any indication, over 80% of those who applied qualified for consideration, although because Sessions has crafted a shifting sand of criteria, that may no longer be true.
Keep in mind that the vast majority of asylum seekers don’t know any of this. They have little knowledge of what the process is, let alone how to navigate it. Much like us, they haven’t been able to keep up with the policy changes. They know only that if they cross the border, they can surrender to request asylum.
Millions of individuals have been criminalized, just as African Americans were in the Jim Crow South and the Civil Rights Movement. Just as the Japanese were criminalized in WWII. They have been pronounced less than human, because in the US, criminals are less than human. So, the argument goes, they deserve to be vilified at every turn. Their children can be snatched out of the arms. Children can be held in pens with concrete floors. Infants are warehoused in contracted facilities devoid of trained child care personnel. Parents can be jailed, even though seeking asylum is not illegal. Until Sessions came along, crossing the border illegally was a civil, not a criminal offense. More than that, the US is violating international treaties on asylum.
We know where 45 stands on treaties; just another law to be ignored or broken. Still, despite the steady stream of anti-immigrant propaganda, 45 has yet to convince the majority of the country that the women and children at the border are anything other than just that, desperate immigrants seeking asylum, being held hostage in Mexico. Many are living in deplorable conditions, without clean water, sanitation, little food. Much of the care has fallen to religious groups and nonprofits. Tijuana is beginning to look like refugee camps in Jordan and Gaza. Coincidentally, the crisis is being exacerbated by the government shutdown. The courts are not hearing cases and allotted border crossing have all but disappeared.
While being denied entry at official ports of entry as Homeland has backlogged asylum applications by processing at the slowest pace possible, some asylum seekers have tried to cross at other points, so they can surrender to border agents when caught. Some have taken jobs in Mexico, which could trigger anger among Mexicans who live with high unemployment rates. The intent of the Nationalist-in-Chief is to erect a wall of bureaucracy and mistreatment, if he doesn’t have a concrete one, to discourage asylum seekers. He’s thinking they’ll give up and just disappear. He has no idea that the boulders that he’s thrown up pale in comparison with the broken lives they left behind. None of the maneuvers of past administrations has managed to discourage the flow of immigrants from deplorable conditions in which they survive. The US is the only place on the continent to escape them.
In pursuit of a state of emergency to convince the Democrats to give him now $5.6 billion for The Wall, 45 has ratcheted up his rhetoric. Thugs, drugs, guns, murderers, gangs, rapists were not enough of a threat. The new rabbit out of his hat to document the national security risk is terrorists crossing the border. Presumably, global terrorists, radical Islamists, since he gave no details. Flanked by border security and Homeland officials, they told the press corps that they had documented evidence of terrorists crossing the southern border.
The Justice and Homeland Security departments cooked up a report mingling terrorism with immigration last January that resurfaced as the evidence. The document reports that 75% of 549 persons convicted of terrorist offenses since 2001 were foreign-born. Actually, 100 of those were extradited from foreign countries for trial here after committing their crimes on foreign soil. The remaining convicted group includes legal and illegal immigrants as well as naturalized citizens. The recent cases we’ve seen in the news have included US born citizens radicalized, alone on the internet to commit lone wolf acts.
On previous occasions, 45 has tried to blame “chain immigration” for terrorism. In service to that theme, the report highlights 8 “illustrative examples” of terrorist offenders among the over 400 convictions. Six of them were relatives of green card holders or citizens. These are the kind of numbers that warm 45’s chest cavity so they may resurface during this current battle.
Officials have acknowledged the report’s misstatements, citing editorial errors, but have not officially retracted it. But once a word is uttered by Agent Orange, the FoxNews/Trump TV Hallelujah chorus launches it into hyperspace. In the meantime, the primary source of terrorist activity in the US is right wing extremists. They have committed 73% of 85 incidents involving murders and injuries while Islamist committed 22.
Undaunted by the skeptical reaction to these cooked up statistics, Sara H tried to spread the impression that nearly 4000 terrorists and suspicious “persons of interest” have come into the country in an interview with Chris Wallace on Fox News. A State Department report in 2017 has refuted the insinuation that some crossed the southern border. It said that there are no terrorists organizations and no credible threats in Mexico. Wallace responded that he’d studied the numbers and all those guys had come through airports. Sara’s crestfallen face said it all; “WTF, I’m not supposed to get pushback on Fox News; they’re supposed to amplify!” In her shock, she managed to sputter out weakly that they were coming by air, by land and by sea while Wallace stuck to his verbal wall of airports only. In fact, the 7 “special interest aliens” caught from 1975 to 2017, reported by the Cato Institute, a Koch funded conservative think tank, have all come across the northern border with Canada and none of them were successful in their planning.
The risk of death in the US from right wing extremists is 1 in 43.8 million, which is twice the probability of death at the hands of foreign born terrorists, 1 in 104.2 million.
In reality, the foreign terrorist threat taps deep into American anxiety but it is miniscule. The risk of death from a terrorist act is 1 in 30.1 million annually, 30 times less than death from an animal attack, itself quite rare. Even more enlightening is the risk of death from right wing extremists is 1 in 43.8 million, which is twice the probability of death at the hands of foreign born terrorists, 1 in 104.2 million. If Agent Orange’s real agenda was to make America safe, a more effective national security strategy to save American lives would be for the FBI, Homeland and Justice to focus on right wing extremists and white supremacist activity. Their efforts could start by reinstituting programs to diminish recruitment and deprogram white supremacists. But law enforcement monitoring of white supremacists is critical. No such monitoring is happening now.
Enter the presidential address from the Oval Office. Agent Orange knows himself well enough to know that that setting is not his best. It is a place for measured speech not the rally harangue that is his forte. He reads badly, sounding more like a dotard struggling to hang on to the teleprompter screen. In what he said was a speech he wrote himself, he began softly in an apparent sympathetic tone for the suffering of Central American immigrants. But he built to a crescendo of rehashing the usual falsehoods, embellished with new tales of illegal immigrant barbarism, although a couple of those cited were not confirmed committed by illegals. He evoked the terrorists threat and inaccurate statistics on drug trafficking. It is a warped view that extracts some horrific crimes by one or two individuals, as if there aren’t thousands of native born Americans who are capable of vicious crimes. Neither represent the vast majority of their respectives groups; bad people come in all skin tones. If only the Minority Report team was around to eliminate the threat of all criminals.
In the end, 45 brought nothing new to support the Wall or its urgency or its efficacy. As @stuartpstevens tweeted “There are numerous examples of presidential addresses made to calm a frightened public. This will be the first to frighten a calm public.”
45 has not found a response to the characterization of the Wall as a 4th century solution to a 21st century problem. It will not work as a deterrent. Women and children will continue to present for asylum at ports of entry. There are already areas with fencing and that has not proved effective. People will still be able to tunnel under it. A continuous wall is not possible and there will always be spaces in between the “steel slatted” segments. Razor wire isn’t effective either. Advanced surveillance techniques and drones will work just as well without a wall. Building a Wall is great for crony federal contractors but hard on land owners who will lose their properties to eminent domain and on wildlife in the region.
We all agree that we want border security and we want an immigration policy that works. However, there is considerable disagreement on the goal of an immigration policy. Republicans want to exclude anyone with a hint of melanin in their skin. Democrats recognize that all immigrants have contributed to sustaining American prosperity. Their objective is to create a pathway to continue to reap the benefits of those contributions. There must be a compromise somewhere in the area of policies to limit the number of immigrants without embracing the Make America White vision. But the partisan chasm is too wide for a bridge to be built in the Era of Trump.
As the shutdown continues and effects more of the public, 45 will become even more prickly, lashing out with even more desperate propaganda. The whoppers will grow, as his wooden nose finally hits the Earth’s core. Rumor has it that he thought the Oval Office speech was a waste of time. But he’s got to get more radical to win over nonTrumpophants before he drops his national emergency declaration. According to TV pundits, Agent Orange advisors believe that the longer the shutdown drags on, the more pressure will grow on the Democrats to capitulate. He believes that federal workers are all Democrats, even in the face of media interviews with Republican workers about their financial difficulties. They weren’t on FoxNews/Trump TV, so he probably missed them. But it is his belief that blunts any empathy he might muster, although many believe that well is eternally dry. He’s likely channeling his revenge mojo. Somehow, he thinks workers will pressure Democrats to cave rather than turn their wrath on him and the GOP. The CelebrityPresident wants to keep the issue going for what he perceives as political capital.
Today, he stormed out of the meet with Chuck and Nancy when Nancy said she would not approve the Wall. Pence and the Trump minions tried again to spin it as Democrats’ refusal to bargain. On the other hand, 45 only had to ask, what would she approve, to keep the discussion going. By picking up his marbles, he was using a negotiating technique that only works if they come after you. They didn’t. It’s back to Pence, Jared and the staff. Or maybe the GOP will be moved to do the right thing and open the government, pass the legislation and overturn the inevitable presidential veto that will follow. Congress is after all, an equal and independent branch of government. The Founders wanted it to be the strongest branch.
And in the background, the BullyPresident, will leave the threat of a National Emergency declaration dangling from tweet to tweet.